OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) β€” RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$20.15 +0.35% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.21

OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (74% profit margin, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- β€’ BUY Cap $742.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚑ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW β€’ $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on OSPN Below β€” or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is OSPN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-02, OneSpan Inc. (NASDAQ: OSPN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $20.15 (+0.35% 1D, market cap $742.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, OSPN ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does OSPN compare to TASK and PLTK in the Technology sector?
β–Ό

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), OSPN carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of 73.8%, and ROIC of 19.0%. By comparison, TASK (TaskUs Inc. (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 18.3%, cap $743.6M) and PLTK (Playtika Holding Corp.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.3%, cap $751.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TASK leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while YEXT leads on capital efficiency (34.1% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSPN?
β–Ό

Per OSPN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001044777), OneSpan Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+0.0% YoY), $72.9M in net income, and $50.5M in free cash flow against $397.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists β€” not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $20.21 (+0.30%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) β€’ 20.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY β€’ B-
025507510071
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B Β· Rk C+
Cash (14)Whales (13)SEC (14)Macro (13)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target
$29 Bull$21 Base$17 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE OSPN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for OSPN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±9.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY OSPN SCORES 71/100 (B-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy β€’ Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 20.8% FCF Margin ($50.5M FCF) & 73.8% Gross Margin

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (53.6) create a -7 pt regime headwind

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$17.85-1.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$17.63+16.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
68
Grade B-$20.60-2.2% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$20.15+6.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: C+ (63) β†’ B- (71)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the OSPN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, OSPN faces multiple-compression risk if 10.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) β€” any gross margin slip below 71.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.90) or 200D SMA ($14.10) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.33) toward Bear Floor ($16.52).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $OSPNβ€’ $4.8M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œOSPN Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
53.630 Oversold Β· 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
5.47>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE58% OF RANGE
L: $10$20.15H: $27
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (74% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C+RQD 27 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on OSPN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BULLISH (70)

19.0% ROIC with 73.8% gross margin and 6.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 5.47 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BULLISH (72)

30/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like OSPN
  • βœ“Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP β€’ SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (OSPN Tape Review)

  • βœ“Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • βœ“Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • βœ“Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
OSPN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +68.90%β–² ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $20.08H $20.15L $20.08C $20.15VOL 963.7K
RES: $22.30SUP: $17.89SMA50: $17.90SMA200: $14.10
$28.61$23.81$19.02$14.23$9.43RES $22.30SUP $17.89$20.152026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

OSPN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-0.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. 0.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on OSPN today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for OSPN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for OSPN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (OSPN)

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (OSPN vs. TASK, PLTK, NRDS, YEXT)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) ranks #87 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #387 by equity capitalization ($742.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TASK leads on earnings valuation at 7.3x trailing P/E, while YEXT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 34.1% ROIC and 74.5% gross margin. NRDS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 78/100 (B+) compared with OSPN at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
OSPN ACTIVE
OneSpan Inc.
B- 71/100 10.2x 73.8% 19.0% +0.35% $742.6M Benchmark Subject
TASK
TaskUs Inc. (Class A)
C+ 68/100 7.3x β€” 18.3% -0.73% $743.6M /task-vs-ospn β†’
PLTK
Playtika Holding Corp.
E 28/100 β€” 72.5% -0.3% -3.43% $751.4M /pltk-vs-ospn β†’
NRDS
NerdWallet Inc. (Class A)
B+ 78/100 14.9x 92.4% 18.6% +6.37% $725.5M /nrds-vs-ospn β†’
YEXT
Yext Inc.
B- 71/100 19.0x 74.5% 34.1% -0.27% $723.5M /yext-vs-ospn β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001044777

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) reported GAAP revenue of $243.2M (+0.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $243.2M , and +3.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $72.9M, operating cash flow of $59.5M, and free cash flow of $50.5M (+8.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, OSPN closed FY2025 with $397.7M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.47, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $243.2M $72.9M $59.5M $50.5M $397.7M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $243.2M $57.1M $55.7M $46.4M $338.7M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $235.1M -$29.8M -$10.7M -$10.7M β€” β€”

3. OSPN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is OSPN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, OneSpan Inc. (NASDAQ: OSPN) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $20.15 (+0.35% 1D, market cap $742.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, OSPN ranks #87 in composite RQD confidence.

How does OSPN compare to TASK and PLTK in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), OSPN carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.2x, gross margin of 73.8%, and ROIC of 19.0%. By comparison, TASK (TaskUs Inc. (Class A)) holds a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 7.3x, ROIC 18.3%, cap $743.6M) and PLTK (Playtika Holding Corp.) posts a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.3%, cap $751.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TASK leads on earnings multiple (7.3x) while YEXT leads on capital efficiency (34.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for OSPN?

Per OSPN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001044777), OneSpan Inc. generated $243.2M in revenue (+0.0% YoY), $72.9M in net income, and $50.5M in free cash flow against $397.7M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is OSPN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

OSPN last traded at $20.15 (+0.35% on volume of 963,708 shares), positioning the stock +12.57% above its 50-day simple moving average ($17.90) and +42.91% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.10). Across its 52-week range of $10.07 to $27.45, OSPN sits at the 58.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±9.4% ($18.26 to $22.04).

OSPN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell OSPN stock right now?

OneSpan Inc. (OSPN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy β€” BUY) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (74% profit margin, 19% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is OSPN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

OSPN's 12-month base price target is $21.33 (range $16.52 to $28.82), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%