Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / MDA

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MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$29.12 -0.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.03

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 45/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $4.72B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on MDA Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is MDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, MDA Space Ltd. (NYSE: MDA) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 45/100 at a spot price of $29.12 (-0.65% 1D, market cap $4.72B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, MDA ranks #661 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does MDA compare to TGLS and CAMT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Electronic Components), MDA carries a Roarable D (45/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, TGLS (Tecnoglass Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 23.3%, cap $1.71B) and CAMT (Camtek Ltd.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 116.2x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $5.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TGLS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while TGLS leads on capital efficiency (23.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MDA?

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For MDA Space Ltd. (MDA), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #661 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $29.03 (-0.31%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 3.3% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (45/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MDA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (45/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY MDA SCORES 45/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)

SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 3.3% FCF Margin ($132.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.4) create a -15 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$27.45+2.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$28.10+0.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$28.36+2.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D$29.12-6.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (37) → D (45)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MDA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MDA currently carries a cautious 45/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($29.18) and Max Pain ($30.58) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $51.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MDA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “MDA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 45%NO 55%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

51.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE23% OF RANGE

L: $23$29.12H: $49

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 15 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 18 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on MDA

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (33)

15/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 5/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MDA

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MDA)

✓Walkthrough of MDA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

MDA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.70%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $29.31H $29.31L $29.12C $29.12VOL 470.1K

RES: $29.55SUP: $25.60SMA50: $29.18SMA200: $32.88

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MDA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 MDA Butterfly Map → + Track MDA →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MDA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MDA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MDA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MDA)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #661 of 1011 ⚔️ TGLS vs MDA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (MDA vs. TGLS, CAMT, AVT, NVMI)

Industry: Electronic Components (21 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) ranks #661 by composite RQD confidence (45/100, grade D) and #282 by equity capitalization ($4.72B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TGLS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while TGLS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.3% ROIC and 42.8% gross margin. TGLS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with MDA at 45/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
MDA ACTIVE MDA Space Ltd.	D	45/100	—	—	—	-0.65%	$4.72B	Benchmark Subject
TGLS Tecnoglass Holdings Inc.	D+	58/100	10.7x	42.8%	23.3%	+2.23%	$1.71B	/tgls-vs-mda →
CAMT Camtek Ltd.	D+	57/100	116.2x	50.5%	14.3%	-1.64%	$5.90B	/camt-vs-mda →
AVT Avnet Inc.	D	48/100	22.7x	10.4%	8.0%	-1.22%	$7.60B	/avt-vs-mda →
NVMI Nova Ltd.	D+	56/100	41.0x	57.4%	13.0%	-0.04%	$10.63B	/nvmi-vs-mda →

2. MDA Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) operates in Electronic Components (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $4.72B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. MDA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MDA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does MDA compare to TGLS and CAMT in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MDA?

Where is MDA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MDA last traded at $29.12 (-0.65% on volume of 470,086 shares), positioning the stock -0.21% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.18) and -11.44% below its 200-day simple moving average ($32.88). Across its 52-week range of $23.23 to $49.37, MDA sits at the 22.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.1% ($26.47 to $31.77).

MDA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MDA stock right now?

MDA Space Ltd. (MDA) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 45/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is MDA's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MDA's 12-month base price target is $27.42 (range $21.39 to $51.84), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: MDA RQD Cockpit MDA 12M Forecast MDA Earnings & Move MDA Dividends & DRIP MDA Insiders & 13F MDA Whale Options MDA Profit Sankey MDA News & Why