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Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.22 -4.69% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21

Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $256.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on KDK Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is KDK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Kodiak AI Inc. (NASDAQ: KDK) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $1.22 (-4.69% 1D, market cap $256.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, KDK ranks #461 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does KDK compare to SMRT and TRVG in the Technology sector?

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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), KDK carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, SMRT (SmartRent Inc. (Class A)) holds a E grade (30/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $262.5M) and TRVG (trivago N.V.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $269.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, KDK leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SMRT leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KDK?

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Per KDK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001853138), Kodiak AI Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $159.4M in total assets and $29.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.21 (-1.03%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for KDK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY KDK SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.2% FCF Margin ($7.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$1.74-31% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$1.20-13.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$1.04+17.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$1.22-6.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a KDK Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While KDK currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.50) and Max Pain ($1.28) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $11.92.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $KDK• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “KDK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

33.230 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

7 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE3% OF RANGE

L: $1$1.22H: $11

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on KDK

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 2.80% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 7/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (35)

13/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like KDK

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring KDK)

✓Walkthrough of KDK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

KDK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -85.61%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-11-02O $1.31H $1.31L $1.22C $1.22VOL 23.56M

RES: $3.27SUP: $0.69SMA50: $2.50SMA200: $5.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

KDK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 KDK Butterfly Map → + Track KDK →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on KDK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for KDK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for KDK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (KDK)

Technology Rank #461 of 714 ⚔️ SMRT vs KDK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (KDK vs. SMRT, TRVG, GLOO, DMRC)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) ranks #461 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #459 by equity capitalization ($256.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KDK leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SMRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 32.7% gross margin. DMRC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with KDK at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
KDK ACTIVE Kodiak AI Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	—	-4.69%	$256.8M	Benchmark Subject
SMRT SmartRent Inc. (Class A)	E	30/100	—	32.7%	-35.0%	-1.46%	$262.5M	/smrt-vs-kdk →
TRVG trivago N.V.	D	46/100	—	—	—	-6.02%	$269.8M	/trvg-vs-kdk →
GLOO Gloo Holdings Inc. (Class A)	E	28/100	—	—	-35.0%	-1.68%	$272.8M	/gloo-vs-kdk →
DMRC Digimarc Corporation	D+	54/100	—	—	—	+0.68%	$237.2M	/dmrc-vs-kdk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001853138

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, KDK closed FY2025 with $159.4M in total assets against $29.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$159.4M	$29.9M

3. KDK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is KDK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does KDK compare to SMRT and TRVG in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for KDK?

Where is KDK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

KDK last traded at $1.22 (-4.69% on volume of 5,510,856 shares), positioning the stock -51.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.50) and -79.46% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.94). Across its 52-week range of $0.96 to $11.35, KDK sits at the 2.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.07 to $1.37).

KDK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell KDK stock right now?

Kodiak AI Inc. (KDK) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 44/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is KDK's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

KDK's 12-month base price target is $1.14 (range $0.89 to $11.92), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: KDK RQD Cockpit KDK 12M Forecast KDK Earnings & Move KDK Dividends & DRIP KDK Insiders & 13F KDK Whale Options KDK Profit Sankey KDK News & Why