CPSS (63) LIEN (34) BKKT (23) BGIN (25) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$1.73 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.73

AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $218.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on HKD Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is HKD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (NYSE: HKD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $1.73 (0.00% 1D, market cap $218.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, HKD ranks #569 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does HKD compare to CPSS and LIEN in the Financials sector?

▼

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), HKD carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CPSS (Consumer Portfolio Services Inc.) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 11.3x, ROIC 6.2%, cap $218.2M) and LIEN (Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E 6.3x, ROIC 11.0%, cap $208.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, LIEN leads on earnings multiple (6.3x) while LIEN leads on capital efficiency (11.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HKD?

▼

Per HKD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31, CIK 0001809691), AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) generated $136.1M in revenue (+565.7% YoY), $97.0M in net income, and $14.3M in free cash flow against $955.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.73 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 10.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.2% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for HKD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY HKD SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$1.71-1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$1.68+0.6% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$1.69+2.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$1.73-0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D+ (55)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the HKD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, HKD faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($1.71) or 200D SMA ($1.65) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($1.71) toward Bear Floor ($1.33).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $HKD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “HKD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 29, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 55%NO 45%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

53.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE11% OF RANGE

L: $1$1.73H: $5

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: CRQD 25 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on HKD

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 6.56% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (65)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (53)

20/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 12/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like HKD

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring HKD)

✓Walkthrough of HKD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

HKD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.26%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $1.73H $1.73L $1.73C $1.73VOL 65.4K

RES: $1.84SUP: $1.63SMA50: $1.71SMA200: $1.65

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

HKD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 HKD Butterfly Map → + Track HKD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on HKD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for HKD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for HKD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (HKD)

Financials Rank #569 of 1096 ⚔️ CPSS vs HKD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (HKD vs. CPSS, LIEN, BKKT, BGIN)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) ranks #569 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #872 by equity capitalization ($218.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LIEN leads on earnings valuation at 6.3x trailing P/E, while LIEN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CPSS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with HKD at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
HKD ACTIVE AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A)	D+	55/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$218.3M	Benchmark Subject
CPSS Consumer Portfolio Services Inc.	C	63/100	11.3x	—	6.2%	+1.32%	$218.2M	/cpss-vs-hkd →
LIEN Chicago Atlantic BDC Inc.	E	34/100	6.3x	—	11.0%	+0.33%	$208.8M	/lien-vs-hkd →
BKKT Bakkt Inc. (Class A)	E	23/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.87%	$229.0M	/bkkt-vs-hkd →
BGIN Bgin Blockchain Limited (Class A)	E	25/100	—	—	-35.0%	+1.68%	$205.9M	/bgin-vs-hkd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-10-31 • CIK 0001809691

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-10-31), AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) reported GAAP revenue of $136.1M (+565.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $20.4M , and +1034.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $97.0M, operating cash flow of $14.4M, and free cash flow of $14.3M (+250.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, HKD closed FY2025 with $955.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-10-31	$136.1M	$97.0M	$14.4M	$14.3M	$955.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-10-31	$20.4M	$41.7M	$4.2M	$4.1M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-10-31	$12.0M	$0	—	—	—	—

3. HKD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is HKD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does HKD compare to CPSS and LIEN in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for HKD?

Where is HKD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

HKD last traded at $1.73 (0.00% on volume of 65,358 shares), positioning the stock +1.17% above its 50-day simple moving average ($1.71) and +4.85% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.65). Across its 52-week range of $1.26 to $5.47, HKD sits at the 11.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($1.60 to $1.86).

HKD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell HKD stock right now?

AMTD Digital Inc. (every five of which represent two ) (Class A) (HKD) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 55/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is HKD's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

HKD's 12-month base price target is $1.71 (range $1.33 to $5.74), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: HKD RQD Cockpit HKD 12M Forecast HKD Earnings & Move HKD Dividends & DRIP HKD Insiders & 13F HKD Whale Options HKD Profit Sankey HKD News & Why