Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (GSIW) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.12 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.10

Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (GSIW) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $97.7M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on GSIW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is GSIW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: GSIW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $9.12 (0.00% 1D, market cap $97.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GSIW ranks #1050 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does GSIW compare to WTF and USIO in the Financials sector?
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Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), GSIW carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WTF (Waton Financial Limited) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $98.4M) and USIO (Usio Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.1%, cap $92.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSIW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USIO leads on capital efficiency (-16.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSIW?
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Per GSIW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001954269), Garden Stage Limited (Class A) generated $7.3M in revenue (+33.2% YoY), -$13.8M in net income, and -$4.2M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.10 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510027
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Cash (8)Whales (3)SEC (8)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-13.9% Base Target
$44 Bull$8 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE GSIW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GSIW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GSIW SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+8/20 pts (30% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
35
Grade E$10.35-1.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
32
Grade E$10.22-10.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
30
Grade E$9.18-0.7% Next Q
Current
27
Grade E$9.12-10.3% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GSIW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GSIW currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.60) and Max Pain ($9.58) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $44.10.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GSIW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GSIW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
32.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE3% OF RANGE
L: $8$9.12H: $42
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 6 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: ERQD 13 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on GSIW

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (40)

14.0% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and -4.33% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (18)

6/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 5/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like GSIW
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GSIW)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GSIW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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GSIW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -70.40%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $9.74H $9.74L $9.12C $9.12VOL 1.1K
RES: $12.33SUP: $5.81SMA50: $12.60SMA200: $22.23
$40.61$32.08$23.54$15.01$6.47RES $12.33SUP $5.81$9.122026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GSIW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +33.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GSIW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GSIW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GSIW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GSIW)

Financials Rank #1050 of 1096 ⚔️ WTF vs GSIW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (GSIW vs. WTF, USIO, EVF, AIB)

Industry: Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service (64 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (GSIW) ranks #1050 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #960 by equity capitalization ($97.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GSIW leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while USIO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -16.1% ROIC and — gross margin. USIO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with GSIW at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GSIW ACTIVE
Garden Stage Limited (Class A)
E 27/100 — — — 0.00% $97.7M Benchmark Subject
WTF
Waton Financial Limited
E 28/100 — — — +1.47% $98.4M /wtf-vs-gsiw →
USIO
Usio Inc.
D 50/100 — — -16.1% -10.15% $92.6M /usio-vs-gsiw →
EVF
Eaton Vance Senior Income Trust
D 47/100 — — — -0.21% $85.1M /evf-vs-gsiw →
AIB
AIB Data Centers Inc.
D- 43/100 — — — -6.67% $79.8M /aib-vs-gsiw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001954269

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (GSIW) reported GAAP revenue of $7.3M (+33.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.5M , and +416.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$13.8M, operating cash flow of -$4.2M, and free cash flow of -$4.2M (-209.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, GSIW closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2026-03-31 $7.3M -$13.8M -$4.2M -$4.2M — —
FY2024 (FY) 2025-03-31 $5.5M -$4.3M -$1.1M -$1.4M — —
FY2023 (FY) 2024-03-31 $1.4M -$4.6M -$7.1M -$7.1M — —

3. GSIW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GSIW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: GSIW) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $9.12 (0.00% 1D, market cap $97.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, GSIW ranks #1050 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GSIW compare to WTF and USIO in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Bankers/Brokers/Service), GSIW carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, WTF (Waton Financial Limited) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $98.4M) and USIO (Usio Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.1%, cap $92.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GSIW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while USIO leads on capital efficiency (-16.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GSIW?

Per GSIW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001954269), Garden Stage Limited (Class A) generated $7.3M in revenue (+33.2% YoY), -$13.8M in net income, and -$4.2M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GSIW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GSIW last traded at $9.12 (0.00% on volume of 95 shares), positioning the stock -27.62% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.60) and -58.97% below its 200-day simple moving average ($22.23). Across its 52-week range of $8.00 to $42.00, GSIW sits at the 3.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($8.13 to $10.11).

GSIW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell GSIW stock right now?

Garden Stage Limited (Class A) (GSIW) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 27/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is GSIW's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

GSIW's 12-month base price target is $7.85 (range $6.12 to $44.1), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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