MZTI (65) POST (48) UTZ (55) NOMD (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$66.12 +1.63% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $66.19

Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.18B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FRPT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FRPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, Freshpet Inc. (NASDAQ: FRPT) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $66.12 (+1.63% 1D, market cap $3.18B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, FRPT ranks #16 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FRPT compare to MZTI and POST in the Consumer Staples sector?

▼

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), FRPT carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 22.8x, gross margin of 40.8%, and ROIC of 6.4%. By comparison, MZTI (The Marzetti Company) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 20.9%, cap $2.98B) and POST (Post Holdings Inc.) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 5.9%, cap $3.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, POST leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while MZTI leads on capital efficiency (20.9% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRPT?

▼

Per FRPT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001611647), Freshpet Inc. generated $1.10B in revenue (+13.0% YoY), $139.1M in net income, and $160.6M in free cash flow against $1.78B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $66.19 (+0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 14.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FRPT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FRPT SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.24 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$65.26+1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$66.12-2.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$64.75+2.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$66.12+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FRPT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, FRPT faces multiple-compression risk if 22.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 38.3% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($65.06) or 200D SMA ($63.85) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($69.10) toward Bear Floor ($53.90).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FRPT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FRPT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

53.930 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

4.24>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE50% OF RANGE

L: $46$66.12H: $86

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (41% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: CRQD 26 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: BRQD 30 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on FRPT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (60)

6.4% ROIC with 40.8% gross margin and 5.05% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (80)

Altman-Z 4.24 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (67)

26/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like FRPT

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (FRPT Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FRPT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.03%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $65.06H $66.12L $65.06C $66.12VOL 847.1K

RES: $68.51SUP: $58.68SMA50: $65.06SMA200: $63.85

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FRPT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FRPT Butterfly Map → + Track FRPT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

16.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FRPT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FRPT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FRPT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FRPT)

Consumer Staples Rank #16 of 146 ⚔️ MZTI vs FRPT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (FRPT vs. MZTI, POST, UTZ, NOMD)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) ranks #16 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #48 by equity capitalization ($3.18B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, POST leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while MZTI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. FRPT currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FRPT ACTIVE Freshpet Inc.	C+	68/100	22.8x	40.8%	6.4%	+1.63%	$3.18B	Benchmark Subject
MZTI The Marzetti Company	C	65/100	17.8x	23.9%	20.9%	+0.66%	$2.98B	/mzti-vs-frpt →
POST Post Holdings Inc.	D	48/100	10.7x	28.7%	5.9%	+1.71%	$3.59B	/post-vs-frpt →
UTZ Utz Brands Inc (Class A)	D+	55/100	—	24.9%	1.1%	-0.07%	$2.06B	/utz-vs-frpt →
NOMD Nomad Foods Limited	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+1.02%	$1.69B	/nomd-vs-frpt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001611647

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) reported GAAP revenue of $1.10B (+13.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $975.2M , and +43.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $139.1M, operating cash flow of $160.6M, and free cash flow of $160.6M (+4.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, FRPT closed FY2025 with $1.78B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.24, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.10B	$139.1M	$160.6M	$160.6M	$1.78B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$975.2M	$46.9M	$154.3M	$154.3M	$1.57B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$766.9M	-$33.6M	$75.9M	$75.9M	—	—

3. FRPT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FRPT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FRPT compare to MZTI and POST in the Consumer Staples sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRPT?

Where is FRPT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FRPT last traded at $66.12 (+1.63% on volume of 847,070 shares), positioning the stock +1.63% above its 50-day simple moving average ($65.06) and +3.56% above its 200-day simple moving average ($63.85). Across its 52-week range of $46.45 to $86.00, FRPT sits at the 49.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.9% ($60.90 to $71.34).

FRPT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell FRPT stock right now?

Freshpet Inc. (FRPT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 41% profit margin (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 23x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is FRPT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

FRPT's 12-month base price target is $69.1 (range $53.9 to $90.3), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: FRPT RQD Cockpit FRPT 12M Forecast FRPT Earnings & Move FRPT Dividends & DRIP FRPT Insiders & 13F FRPT Whale Options FRPT Profit Sankey FRPT News & Why