Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DORM

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Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$133.67 +3.03% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $134.72

Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (42% profit margin, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.94B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $134.73 (+0.79%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 3.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DORM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DORM SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 62% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 69.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 14.1% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$120.40+2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$123.89+1.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$125.24+6.7% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$133.67+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (63) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DORM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, DORM faces multiple-compression risk if 19.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 39.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($125.64) or 200D SMA ($123.41) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($141.49) toward Bear Floor ($109.61).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DORM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DORM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

69.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE62% OF RANGE

L: $98$133.67H: $155

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 10 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● BUYING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Hedge funds and options traders are leaning bullish, showing strong institutional appetite.

Factor Grade: BRQD 29 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 32 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on DORM

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (50)

12.9% ROIC with 42.1% gross margin and 1.92% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (75)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (77)

29/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 17/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DORM

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.
✓Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DORM Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DORM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.81%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $134.2H $136.4L $130.0C $133.7VOL 280.1K

RES: $173.3SUP: $119.6SMA50: $125.6SMA200: $123.4

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DORM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DORM Butterfly Map → + Track DORM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

12.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DORM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DORM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DORM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DORM)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #153 of 1011 ⚔️ ATMU vs DORM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DORM vs. ATMU, GTX, GNTX, VGNT)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) ranks #153 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #319 by equity capitalization ($3.94B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GNTX leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while GTX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 69.2% ROIC and 20.4% gross margin. ATMU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with DORM at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DORM ACTIVE Dorman Products Inc.	B-	71/100	19.3x	42.1%	12.9%	+3.03%	$3.94B	Benchmark Subject
ATMU Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.	B+	77/100	18.3x	28.2%	34.6%	+3.04%	$3.79B	/atmu-vs-dorm →
GTX Garrett Motion Inc.	C-	61/100	13.5x	20.4%	69.2%	+0.67%	$4.19B	/gtx-vs-dorm →
GNTX Gentex Corporation	C+	66/100	11.1x	34.2%	14.8%	+0.95%	$4.27B	/gntx-vs-dorm →
VGNT Versigent PLC	D+	53/100	—	—	—	+2.00%	$3.00B	/vgnt-vs-dorm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000868780

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) reported GAAP revenue of $2.13B (+6.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.01B , and +10.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $204.2M, operating cash flow of $113.6M, and free cash flow of $75.7M (-60.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, DORM closed FY2025 with $2.49B in total assets against $402.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.13B	$204.2M	$113.6M	$75.7M	$2.49B	$402.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.01B	$190.0M	$231.0M	$191.6M	$2.42B	$439.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.93B	$129.3M	$208.8M	$208.8M	—	—

3. DORM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DORM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Dorman Products Inc. (NASDAQ: DORM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $133.67 (+3.03% 1D, market cap $3.94B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DORM ranks #153 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DORM compare to ATMU and GTX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DORM carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.3x, gross margin of 42.1%, and ROIC of 12.9%. By comparison, ATMU (Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.) holds a B+ grade (77/100 RQD, P/E 18.3x, ROIC 34.6%, cap $3.79B) and GTX (Garrett Motion Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 13.5x, ROIC 69.2%, cap $4.19B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GNTX leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while GTX leads on capital efficiency (69.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DORM?

Per DORM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000868780), Dorman Products Inc. generated $2.13B in revenue (+6.0% YoY), $204.2M in net income, and $75.7M in free cash flow against $2.49B in total assets and $402.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DORM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DORM last traded at $133.67 (+3.03% on volume of 308,754 shares), positioning the stock +6.39% above its 50-day simple moving average ($125.64) and +8.31% above its 200-day simple moving average ($123.41). Across its 52-week range of $98.45 to $155.37, DORM sits at the 61.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 69.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($123.78 to $143.56).

DORM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DORM stock right now?

Dorman Products Inc. (DORM) currently earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy — BUY) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (42% profit margin, 13% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

What is DORM's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DORM's 12-month base price target is $141.49 (range $109.61 to $166.96), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: DORM RQD Cockpit DORM 12M Forecast DORM Earnings & Move DORM Dividends & DRIP DORM Insiders & 13F DORM Whale Options DORM Profit Sankey DORM News & Why