Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DNOW

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DNOW Inc. (DNOW) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$16.66 +0.97% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.66

DNOW Inc. (DNOW) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $3.01B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DNOW Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DNOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, DNOW Inc. (NYSE: DNOW) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $16.66 (+0.97% 1D, market cap $3.01B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DNOW ranks #633 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DNOW compare to INVX and FLOC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Oil and Gas Field Machinery), DNOW carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 17.0%, and ROIC of -3.6%. By comparison, INVX (Innovex International Inc.) holds a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 25.2x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $2.10B) and FLOC (Flowco Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 43.8x, ROIC 30.0%, cap $1.81B). Among the 5-stock peer group, INVX leads on earnings multiple (25.2x) while FLOC leads on capital efficiency (30.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DNOW?

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Per DNOW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001599617), DNOW Inc. generated $2.82B in revenue (+18.8% YoY), -$89 in net income, and $134.0M in free cash flow against $3.92B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $16.66 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 4.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DNOW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DNOW SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 91% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 55.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$15.57+0.7% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$15.68+0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$15.69+6.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$16.66-1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → D (50)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DNOW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DNOW currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($15.80) and Max Pain ($17.49) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.95.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DNOW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DNOW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 50%NO 50%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

55.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)

1.81>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE91% OF RANGE

L: $11$16.66H: $17

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on DNOW

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

-3.6% ROIC with 17.0% gross margin and 4.45% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (45)

Altman-Z 1.81 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (57)

21/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 13/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DNOW

✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DNOW)

✓Walkthrough of DNOW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DNOW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +23.50%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $16.43H $16.75L $16.17C $16.66VOL 1.22M

RES: $16.43SUP: $14.54SMA50: $15.80SMA200: $14.09

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DNOW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DNOW Butterfly Map → + Track DNOW →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +18.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DNOW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DNOW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DNOW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DNOW)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #633 of 1011 ⚔️ INVX vs DNOW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DNOW vs. INVX, FLOC, WHD, SEI)

Industry: Oil and Gas Field Machinery (17 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, DNOW Inc. (DNOW) ranks #633 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #361 by equity capitalization ($3.01B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, INVX leads on earnings valuation at 25.2x trailing P/E, while FLOC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 30.0% ROIC and — gross margin. INVX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with DNOW at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DNOW ACTIVE DNOW Inc.	D	50/100	—	17.0%	-3.6%	+0.97%	$3.01B	Benchmark Subject
INVX Innovex International Inc.	B+	76/100	25.2x	31.0%	9.9%	-1.22%	$2.10B	/invx-vs-dnow →
FLOC Flowco Holdings Inc. (Class A)	B	73/100	43.8x	—	30.0%	-1.47%	$1.81B	/floc-vs-dnow →
WHD Cactus Inc.	B	74/100	31.6x	37.0%	15.4%	+1.79%	$5.25B	/whd-vs-dnow →
SEI Solaris Energy Infrastructure Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	25.3%	+0.22%	$5.29B	/sei-vs-dnow →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001599617

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), DNOW Inc. (DNOW) reported GAAP revenue of $2.82B (+18.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.37B , and +21.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$89, operating cash flow of $155.0M, and free cash flow of $134.0M (-53.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DNOW closed FY2025 with $3.92B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.81, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$2.82B	-$89	$155.0M	$134.0M	$3.92B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$2.37B	$78	$298.0M	$289.0M	$1.62B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.32B	$250	$188.0M	$188.0M	—	—

3. DNOW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DNOW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DNOW compare to INVX and FLOC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DNOW?

Where is DNOW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DNOW last traded at $16.66 (+0.97% on volume of 2,396,546 shares), positioning the stock +5.44% above its 50-day simple moving average ($15.80) and +18.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($14.09). Across its 52-week range of $10.94 to $17.26, DNOW sits at the 90.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.7 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($15.43 to $17.89).

DNOW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DNOW stock right now?

DNOW Inc. (DNOW) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is DNOW's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DNOW's 12-month base price target is $16.06 (range $12.53 to $18.95), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: DNOW RQD Cockpit DNOW 12M Forecast DNOW Earnings & Move DNOW Dividends & DRIP DNOW Insiders & 13F DNOW Whale Options DNOW Profit Sankey DNOW News & Why