CRNC (36) LAW (34) MTLS (54) MKTW (69) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Agora Inc. (API) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$4.45 -0.22% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.44

Agora Inc. (API) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $372.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on API Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is API stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, Agora Inc. (NASDAQ: API) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $4.45 (-0.22% 1D, market cap $372.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 12/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, API ranks #289 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does API compare to CRNC and LAW in the Technology sector?

▼

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), API carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 39.1x, gross margin of 66.4%, and ROIC of -1.5%. By comparison, CRNC (Cerence Inc.) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.6%, cap $370.4M) and LAW (CS Disco Inc.) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $344.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, API leads on earnings multiple (39.1x) while MKTW leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for API?

▼

Per API's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001802883), Agora Inc. generated $141.1M in revenue (+5.9% YoY), $9.5M in net income, and $25.5M in free cash flow against $721.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.44 (-0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 18.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for API)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY API SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.98 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$4.11+6.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$4.37+2.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$4.48-0.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$4.45-0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the API Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, API faces multiple-compression risk if 39.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.22) or 200D SMA ($4.15) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.41) toward Bear Floor ($3.44).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $API• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “API Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 56%NO 44%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM

56.530 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.98>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREHIGH QUALITY (7–9)

8 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE56% OF RANGE

L: $3$4.45H: $5

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 23 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on API

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (45)

-1.5% ROIC with 66.4% gross margin and 6.85% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

NEUTRAL (60)

Altman-Z 0.98 and Piotroski 8/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (58)

24/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 11/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like API

✓Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Priced at 39x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring API)

✓Walkthrough of API's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

API // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +15.89%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-11-02O $4.46H $4.46L $4.45C $4.45VOL 75.9K

RES: $4.54SUP: $4.02SMA50: $4.22SMA200: $4.15

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

API Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 API Butterfly Map → + Track API →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

29.8%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +5.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on API today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for API. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for API today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (API)

Technology Rank #289 of 714 ⚔️ CRNC vs API Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (API vs. CRNC, LAW, MTLS, MKTW)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Agora Inc. (API) ranks #289 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #431 by equity capitalization ($372.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, API leads on earnings valuation at 39.1x trailing P/E, while MKTW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 86.5% gross margin. MKTW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with API at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
API ACTIVE Agora Inc.	D+	56/100	39.1x	66.4%	-1.5%	-0.22%	$372.8M	Benchmark Subject
CRNC Cerence Inc.	D-	36/100	—	72.7%	-0.6%	-3.42%	$370.4M	/crnc-vs-api →
LAW CS Disco Inc.	E	34/100	—	74.9%	-35.0%	+0.95%	$344.1M	/law-vs-api →
MTLS Materialise NV	D+	54/100	—	—	—	+6.79%	$427.6M	/mtls-vs-api →
MKTW MarketWise Inc. (Class A)	C+	69/100	56.1x	86.5%	85.0%	-1.04%	$315.0M	/mktw-vs-api →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001802883

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Agora Inc. (API) reported GAAP revenue of $141.1M (+5.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $133.3M , and -0.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $9.5M, operating cash flow of $27.2M, and free cash flow of $25.5M (+253.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, API closed FY2025 with $721.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.98, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$141.1M	$9.5M	$27.2M	$25.5M	$721.1M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$133.3M	-$42.7M	-$14.1M	-$16.7M	$699.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$141.5M	-$87.2M	-$13.6M	-$13.6M	—	—

3. API Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is API stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does API compare to CRNC and LAW in the Technology sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for API?

Where is API trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

API last traded at $4.45 (-0.22% on volume of 75,856 shares), positioning the stock +5.45% above its 50-day simple moving average ($4.22) and +7.23% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.15). Across its 52-week range of $3.14 to $5.49, API sits at the 55.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 56.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($4.12 to $4.78).

API Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell API stock right now?

Agora Inc. (API) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 56/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 39x P/E (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is API's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

API's 12-month base price target is $4.41 (range $3.44 to $5.76), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: API RQD Cockpit API 12M Forecast API Earnings & Move API Dividends & DRIP API Insiders & 13F API Whale Options API Profit Sankey API News & Why