Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12.5% Move

$1.30 -9.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.28

Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $67.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is ZYBT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: ZYBT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $1.30 (-9.09% 1D, market cap $67.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ZYBT ranks #531 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does ZYBT compare to OSTX and RNXT in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ZYBT carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.5%, and ROIC of -22.3%. By comparison, OSTX (OS Therapies Incorporated) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $67.6M) and RNXT (RenovoRx Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $67.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MNOV leads on earnings multiple (5.7x) while ZYBT leads on capital efficiency (-22.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZYBT?
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Per ZYBT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001975641), Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) generated $16.6M in revenue (-34.8% YoY), -$10.0M in net income, and $1.8M in free cash flow against $62.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.28 (-1.83%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 10.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510040
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (10)Whales (8)SEC (7)Macro (8)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$8 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE ZYBT RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ZYBT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ZYBT SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+10/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.6% FCF Margin ($1.8M FCF) & 20.5% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (20% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 13 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$1.73-19.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
45
Grade D$1.40+7.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
43
Grade D$1.50-13.3% Next Q
Current
40
Grade D-$1.30-7.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a ZYBT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While ZYBT currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.48) and Max Pain ($1.37) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.41.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.16% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ZYBT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ZYBT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12.5% Swing Band

±$0.16 Expected Swing
$1.14 (-12.5%)Spot $1.30$1.46 (+12.5%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ZYBT Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 40/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -34.8%

Model Bullish Setup (40/100)Model Risk Weight (60/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$16.6M-$10.0M$1.8M20.5%
FY 20242024-12-31$25.5M$1.6M$3.8M49%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ZYBT)

  • ✓Walkthrough of ZYBT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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ZYBT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +41.30%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $1.17H $1.40L $1.17C $1.30VOL 122.9K
RES: $3.19SUP: $1.08SMA50: $1.48SMA200: $1.16
$8.53$6.38$4.24$2.10$-0.05RES $3.19SUP $1.08$1.302026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ZYBT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -34.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZYBT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZYBT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZYBT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ZYBT)

Health Care Rank #531 of 1016 ⚔️ OSTX vs ZYBT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ZYBT vs. OSTX, RNXT, FBIO, MNOV)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) ranks #531 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #710 by equity capitalization ($67.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, MNOV leads on earnings valuation at 5.7x trailing P/E, while ZYBT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -22.3% ROIC and 20.5% gross margin. OSTX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 42/100 (D-) compared with ZYBT at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ZYBT ACTIVE
Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A)
D- 40/100 — 20.5% -22.3% -9.09% $67.8M Benchmark Subject
OSTX
OS Therapies Incorporated
D- 42/100 — — -35.0% -4.61% $67.6M /ostx-vs-zybt →
RNXT
RenovoRx Inc.
E 31/100 — 70.9% -35.0% -10.74% $67.2M /rnxt-vs-zybt →
FBIO
Fortress Biotech Inc.
D- 39/100 — 66.9% -35.0% -4.00% $66.7M /fbio-vs-zybt →
MNOV
Medicinova Inc
E 30/100 5.7x — -35.0% 0.00% $68.9M /mnov-vs-zybt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001975641

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) reported GAAP revenue of $16.6M (-34.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $25.5M ) , GAAP net income of -$10.0M, operating cash flow of $1.9M, and free cash flow of $1.8M (-53.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ZYBT closed FY2025 with $62.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.90, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $16.6M -$10.0M $1.9M $1.8M $62.4M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $25.5M $1.6M $5.6M $3.8M $67.6M $658.0K

3. ZYBT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ZYBT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (NASDAQ: ZYBT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $1.30 (-9.09% 1D, market cap $67.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ZYBT ranks #531 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ZYBT compare to OSTX and RNXT in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ZYBT carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.5%, and ROIC of -22.3%. By comparison, OSTX (OS Therapies Incorporated) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $67.6M) and RNXT (RenovoRx Inc.) posts a E grade (31/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $67.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, MNOV leads on earnings multiple (5.7x) while ZYBT leads on capital efficiency (-22.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZYBT?

Per ZYBT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001975641), Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) generated $16.6M in revenue (-34.8% YoY), -$10.0M in net income, and $1.8M in free cash flow against $62.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ZYBT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ZYBT last traded at $1.30 (-9.09% on volume of 122,945 shares), positioning the stock -12.16% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.48) and +12.07% above its 200-day simple moving average ($1.16). Across its 52-week range of $0.62 to $8.01, ZYBT sits at the 9.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.14 to $1.46).

ZYBT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ZYBT's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ZYBT stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12.5% event move for ZYBT, spanning a range between $1.14 and $1.46.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 40/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

ZYBT — Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A): What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: roarable-bundle-v1
As of: 2026-11-02T15:08:05Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD 5-pillar rating engine, Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) carries a composite score of 40 / 100 (D- — Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow).\n- Fundamental Cash Engine (10 / 20): Return on invested capital (ROIC) registers at -22.3% with a free cash flow yield of 2.61% and gross margin of 20.5%.\n- Institutional 13F Whale Flow (8 / 20): Tracks institutional accumulation and dark-pool/options positioning relative to the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations cohort.\n- Insider & Congressional Conviction (7 / 20): Evaluates open-market Form 4 executive purchases and Congressional PTR disclosures.\n- Macro Regime Fit (8 / 20): Equity beta of 1.00 across the Health Care sector.\n- Forensic Balance-Sheet Shield (7 / 20): Altman Z-Score of 1.90, Piotroski F-Score of 4/9, and Debt-to-Equity of 0.50.

Snapshot

PriceMarket CapP/E (TTM)Forward P/EEV/EBITDAEPS (TTM)Dividend YieldBeta52-Wk RangeROIC %\n------------------------------\n$1.30$67.8MN/AN/AN/AN/A0.00%1.00$0.62 - $8.01-22.3%

Business & Sector Positioning

Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) is a NASDAQ-listed Health Care issuer operating in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations with a market capitalization of $0.1B.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Operating within Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (Health Care), ZYBT exhibits an operating margin of -60.0% and net margin of -60.0%. Prospective investors should monitor 2nd-order capex cycles, input cost pass-through in gross margin (20.5%), and valuation discipline (current multiple) relative to free cash flow conversion.

Open Questions for Prospective Investors

  • How sustainable is ZYBT's current operating margin (-60.0%) and ROIC (-22.3%) over the next four quarters?\n2. Does the current valuation multiple (current EV/EBITDA) adequately discount macro sensitivity (Beta 1.00) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations?\n3. Will upcoming quarterly cash flow conversion support continued balance-sheet strength (Altman Z 1.90)?

ZYBT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) (ZYBT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to ZYBT Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

ZYBT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $1.30?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON ZYBT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on ZYBT:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.14 (-12.3%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is ZYBT (D- • RQD 40/100) a Buy at $1.30?

Welcome to the ZYBT (Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A)) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 40/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $1.09 (-16.2%)
Spot @ $1.30

Pump the brakes on ZYBT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on ZYBT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with 20.5% gross margins. Unless Zhengye Biotechnology Holding Limited (Class A) expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

QU QuantViper Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $1.55 (+19.2%)
Spot @ $1.30

ZYBT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on ZYBT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $1.30 (52-wk range $0.62 - $8.01), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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