Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / ZGN / financials

FIGS (66) COLM (68) UAA (37) UA (36) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$13.41 +0.98% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.41

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 62/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $3.60B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.41 (-0.01%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 2.5% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 62/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ZGN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (62/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ZGN SCORES 62/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 65% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 58.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.4% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$12.68+1.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$12.91+4.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$13.48-0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C$13.41+0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → C (62)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ZGN Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 62/100 (C) score, ZGN faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.78) or 200D SMA ($12.40) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.65) toward Bear Floor ($10.65).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ZGN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ZGN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 62%NO 38%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • Trailing 12 Months

How ZGN Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$100.7M (2.5% FCF Margin)

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring ZGN)

✓Walkthrough of ZGN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ZGN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +10.64%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $13.45H $13.54L $13.29C $13.41VOL 731.1K

RES: $16.72SUP: $10.60SMA50: $12.78SMA200: $12.40

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ZGN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ZGN Butterfly Map → + Track ZGN →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ZGN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ZGN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ZGN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ZGN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #351 of 1011 ⚔️ FIGS vs ZGN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ZGN vs. FIGS, COLM, UAA, UA)

Industry: Apparel (27 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) ranks #351 by composite RQD confidence (62/100, grade C) and #332 by equity capitalization ($3.60B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, COLM leads on earnings valuation at 18.4x trailing P/E, while COLM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 50.5% gross margin. COLM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with ZGN at 62/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ZGN ACTIVE Ermenegildo Zegna N.V.	C	62/100	—	—	—	+0.98%	$3.60B	Benchmark Subject
FIGS FIGS Inc.	C+	66/100	104.4x	66.5%	7.3%	+4.36%	$3.58B	/figs-vs-zgn →
COLM Columbia Sportswear Company	C+	68/100	18.4x	50.5%	9.2%	+4.58%	$3.26B	/colm-vs-zgn →
UAA Under Armour Inc. (Class A)	D-	37/100	—	45.5%	-9.5%	+5.46%	$2.16B	/uaa-vs-zgn →
UA Under Armour Inc. (Class C)	D-	36/100	—	45.5%	-9.5%	+5.86%	$2.10B	/ua-vs-zgn →

2. ZGN Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN) operates in Apparel (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $3.60B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. ZGN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ZGN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (NYSE: ZGN) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 62/100 at a spot price of $13.41 (+0.98% 1D, market cap $3.60B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ZGN ranks #351 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ZGN compare to FIGS and COLM in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Apparel), ZGN carries a Roarable C (62/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, FIGS (FIGS Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 104.4x, ROIC 7.3%, cap $3.58B) and COLM (Columbia Sportswear Company) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 18.4x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $3.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, COLM leads on earnings multiple (18.4x) while COLM leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ZGN?

For Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #351 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ZGN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ZGN last traded at $13.41 (+0.98% on volume of 654,018 shares), positioning the stock +4.93% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.78) and +8.15% above its 200-day simple moving average ($12.40). Across its 52-week range of $8.65 to $15.95, ZGN sits at the 65.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 58.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($12.42 to $14.40).

ZGN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Ermenegildo Zegna N.V. (ZGN)?

In Trailing 12 Months, ZGN converted $4.0B of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 27% operating margin, and $100.7M in free cash flow (2.5% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: ZGN RQD Cockpit ZGN 12M Forecast ZGN Earnings & Move ZGN Dividends & DRIP ZGN Insiders & 13F ZGN Whale Options ZGN Profit Sankey ZGN News & Why