Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$2.35 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.35

Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $220.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is YSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (NYSE: YSG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $2.35 (0.00% 1D, market cap $220.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, YSG ranks #982 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does YSG compare to SLSN and WNW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), YSG carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 78.2%, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, SLSN (Solesence Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 32.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $58.9M) and WNW (Meiwu Technology Company Limited) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.0%, cap $54.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ODD leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while ODD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSG?
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Per YSG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819580), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) generated $614.6M in revenue (+32.2% YoY), -$11.6M in net income, and -$19.6M in free cash flow against $550.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.35 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (3)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.5% Base Target
$7 Bull$2 Base$2 Bear
📬 FREE YSG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YSG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY YSG SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (31% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11.9% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (31% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.20 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$2.58+0% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
31
Grade E$2.58-6.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
29
Grade E$2.42-2.9% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$2.35-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a YSG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While YSG currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.61) and Max Pain ($2.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YSG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “YSG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How YSG Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)
Revenue$614.6MGross Profit $480.7M (78.2%)Cost of Sales $134.0MOp Profit $0 (0%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $480.7MNet Profit$0 (0%)Tax/Other $0

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $481.0M
FY24
Rev $464.9M
FY25
Rev $614.6M
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$614.6M78.2%-4.3%-$11.6M-$19.6M-6.5%
FY 2024$464.9M77.1%-24.3%-$97.0M-$40.6M-29.1%
FY 2023$481.0M78.2%-26.7%-$747.8M-$15.1M-6.5%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring YSG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of YSG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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YSG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -19.24%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $2.32H $2.36L $2.15C $2.35VOL 42.8K
RES: $3.56SUP: $2.07SMA50: $2.61SMA200: $3.23
$6.42$5.26$4.11$2.95$1.79RES $3.56SUP $2.07$2.352026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YSG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +32.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YSG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YSG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YSG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YSG)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #982 of 1011 ⚔️ SLSN vs YSG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (YSG vs. SLSN, WNW, ODD, EPC)

Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) ranks #982 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #682 by equity capitalization ($220.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ODD leads on earnings valuation at 11.1x trailing P/E, while ODD leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 72.7% gross margin. ODD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 77/100 (B+) compared with YSG at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
YSG ACTIVE
Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A)
E 26/100 — 78.2% -6.5% 0.00% $220.6M Benchmark Subject
SLSN
Solesence Inc.
D+ 52/100 32.9x 25.9% 9.7% +2.24% $58.9M /slsn-vs-ysg →
WNW
Meiwu Technology Company Limited
D+ 54/100 — 10.1% -22.0% +0.98% $54.5M /wnw-vs-ysg →
ODD
ODDITY Tech Ltd. (Class A)
B+ 77/100 11.1x 72.7% 85.0% +3.93% $1.23B /odd-vs-ysg →
EPC
Edgewell Personal Care Company
C- 60/100 51.8x 41.6% 2.5% +3.25% $1.32B /epc-vs-ysg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001819580

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG) reported GAAP revenue of $614.6M (+32.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $464.9M , and +27.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$11.6M, operating cash flow of -$13.5M, and free cash flow of -$19.6M (+51.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, YSG closed FY2025 with $550.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $614.6M -$11.6M -$13.5M -$19.6M $550.1M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $464.9M -$97.0M -$33.4M -$40.6M $544.0M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $481.0M -$747.8M -$15.1M -$15.1M — —

3. YSG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (NYSE: YSG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $2.35 (0.00% 1D, market cap $220.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, YSG ranks #982 in composite RQD confidence.

How does YSG compare to SLSN and WNW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), YSG carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 78.2%, and ROIC of -6.5%. By comparison, SLSN (Solesence Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E 32.9x, ROIC 9.7%, cap $58.9M) and WNW (Meiwu Technology Company Limited) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.0%, cap $54.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ODD leads on earnings multiple (11.1x) while ODD leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YSG?

Per YSG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001819580), Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) generated $614.6M in revenue (+32.2% YoY), -$11.6M in net income, and -$19.6M in free cash flow against $550.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is YSG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YSG last traded at $2.35 (0.00% on volume of 47,132 shares), positioning the stock -9.96% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.61) and -27.24% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.23). Across its 52-week range of $2.15 to $7.09, YSG sits at the 4.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($2.07 to $2.63).

YSG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Yatsen Holding Limited each representing twenty (20) (Class A) (YSG)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), YSG converted $614.6M of revenue into a 78.2% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

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