Yiren Digital Ltd. each representing two (YRD) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$0.47 -0.84% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.47

Yiren Digital Ltd. each representing two (YRD) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 55/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $41.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.47 (-0.34%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.68% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 11.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 55/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.4% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510055
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D+
Cash (11)Whales (13)SEC (13)Macro (8)CEO (10)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.1% Base Target
$6 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
📬 FREE YRD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YRD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (55/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY YRD SCORES 55/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (27.2) create a -12 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
63
Grade C+$1.00-25% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
60
Grade C$0.75-10.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
58
Grade C$0.67-29.9% Next Q
Current
55
Grade D+$0.47-0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (63) → D+ (55)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the YRD Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 55/100 (D+) score, YRD faces multiple-compression risk if 5.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($0.89) or 200D SMA ($1.85) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($0.46) toward Bear Floor ($0.36).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YRD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “YRD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr
$10.7K
Yr 1
$11.4K
Yr 2
$12.2K
Yr 3
$13.0K
Yr 4
$13.9K
Yr 5
$14.8K
Yr 6
$15.8K
Yr 7
$16.9K
Yr 8
$18.1K
Yr 9
$19.3K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring YRD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of YRD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
YRD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -75.65%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $0.49H $0.49L $0.41C $0.47VOL 205.7K
RES: $0.95SUP: $0.18SMA50: $0.89SMA200: $1.85
$4.82$3.61$2.40$1.19$-0.03RES $0.95SUP $0.18$0.472026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YRD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-12.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YRD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YRD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YRD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YRD)

Financials Rank #706 of 1096 ⚔️ AURE vs YRD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (YRD vs. AURE, AVAT, MI, MATH)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Yiren Digital Ltd. each representing two (YRD) ranks #706 by composite RQD confidence (55/100, grade D+) and #1022 by equity capitalization ($41.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YRD leads on earnings valuation at 5.3x trailing P/E, while MI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -0.9% ROIC and — gross margin. YRD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 55/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
YRD ACTIVE
Yiren Digital Ltd. each representing two
D+ 55/100 5.3x — -35.0% -0.84% $41.2M Benchmark Subject
AURE
Aurelion Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 — — — +5.45% $36.9M /aure-vs-yrd →
AVAT
Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A)
D 45/100 — — — -7.76% $46.8M /avat-vs-yrd →
MI
NFT Limited Class A Ordinary Share
E 31/100 — — -0.9% -2.47% $35.7M /mi-vs-yrd →
MATH
Metalpha Technology Holding Limited
D+ 55/100 — — — -4.76% $47.5M /math-vs-yrd →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001631761

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Yiren Digital Ltd. each representing two (YRD) reported GAAP revenue of $817.8M (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $7.8M, operating cash flow of $100.6M, and free cash flow of $96.9M (-50.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, YRD closed FY2025 with $1.92B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $817.8M $7.8M $100.6M $96.9M $1.92B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $216.8M $195.1M $193.8M $1.78B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $293.0M $305.8M $305.8M — —

3. YRD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YRD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Yiren Digital Ltd. each representing two (NYSE: YRD) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 55/100 at a spot price of $0.47 (-0.84% 1D, market cap $41.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 10/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, YRD ranks #706 in composite RQD confidence.

How does YRD compare to AURE and AVAT in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), YRD carries a Roarable D+ (55/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AURE (Aurelion Inc. (Class A)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $36.9M) and AVAT (Avalanche Treasury Corporation (Class A)) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $46.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YRD leads on earnings multiple (5.3x) while MI leads on capital efficiency (-0.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YRD?

Per YRD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001631761), Yiren Digital Ltd. each representing two generated $817.8M in revenue, $7.8M in net income, and $96.9M in free cash flow against $1.92B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is YRD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YRD last traded at $0.47 (-0.84% on volume of 138,110 shares), positioning the stock -47.19% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.89) and -74.59% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.85). Across its 52-week range of $0.36 to $5.69, YRD sits at the 2.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 27.2 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.53).

YRD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does YRD pay a dividend and is it safe?

Yiren Digital Ltd. each representing two (YRD) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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