MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why YMT Stock dropped -9.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.44 -9.81% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.43
Yimutian Inc. (YMT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $11.1M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.43 (-1.96%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.1% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY YMT SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (31% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$0.99-39.4% Next Q
44
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$0.60-8.3% Next Q
41
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$0.55-20% Next Q
39
CurrentGrade D-$0.44-8.3% Hist 90D α
36
Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a YMT Turnaround Squeeze
While YMT currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.61) and Max Pain ($0.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $559.44.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YMT• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “YMT Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why YMT Stock dropped -9.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Yimutian Inc. (YMT) dropped -9.81% to $0.44, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.3 – $532.8). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.3 – $532.8) with RSI-14 at 15.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.44 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 84.6% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live YMT Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 4h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 8h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring YMT)
- ✓Walkthrough of YMT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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YMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -98.92%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $0.38H $0.44L $0.30C $0.44VOL 527.9K
RES: $-0.37SUP: $-1.45SMA50: $1.61SMA200: $71.12
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
YMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YMT today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YMT)
Technology Rank #608 of 714
⚔️ TGHL vs YMT Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (YMT vs. TGHL, FUSE, BTLN, CYCU)
Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Yimutian Inc. (YMT) ranks #608 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #640 by equity capitalization ($11.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YMT leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while BTLN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -18.2% ROIC and 61.0% gross margin. TGHL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 37/100 (D-) compared with YMT at 36/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YMT
ACTIVE
Yimutian Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | 84.6% | -35.0% | -9.81% | $11.1M | Benchmark Subject |
| TGHL The GrowHub Limited (Class A) | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -35.0% | -11.21% | $12.0M | /tghl-vs-ymt → |
| FUSE Fusemachines Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | 55.8% | -35.0% | +0.27% | $12.0M | /fuse-vs-ymt → |
| BTLN Brightline Interactive Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | 61.0% | -18.2% | -0.30% | $9.9M | /btln-vs-ymt → |
| CYCU Cycurion Inc. | D- | 36/100 | — | 10.7% | -35.0% | +2.21% | $8.2M | /cycu-vs-ymt → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001991605In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Yimutian Inc. (YMT) reported GAAP revenue of $20.1M , GAAP net income of -$6.7M, operating cash flow of -$7.0M, and free cash flow of -$7.2M . On the balance sheet, YMT closed FY2025 with $23.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $20.1M | -$6.7M | -$7.0M | -$7.2M | $23.0M | — |
3. YMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs YMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Yimutian Inc. (NASDAQ: YMT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $0.44 (-9.81% 1D, market cap $11.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, YMT ranks #608 in composite RQD confidence.
How does YMT compare to TGHL and FUSE in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), YMT carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 84.6%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, TGHL (The GrowHub Limited (Class A)) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.0M) and FUSE (Fusemachines Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $12.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YMT leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while BTLN leads on capital efficiency (-18.2% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YMT?
Per YMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001991605), Yimutian Inc. generated $20.1M in revenue, -$6.7M in net income, and -$7.2M in free cash flow against $23.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is YMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
YMT last traded at $0.44 (-9.81% on volume of 17,202,443 shares), positioning the stock -72.67% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.61) and -99.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($71.12). Across its 52-week range of $0.30 to $532.80, YMT sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 15.5 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.50).
YMT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is YMT stock moving today?
Why YMT Stock dropped -9.81% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.