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Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. American (YMM) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$8.09 +0.12% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. American (YMM) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (72% profit margin, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. Even if the broader market gets choppy, the company’s underlying cash engine and big-money support put the odds in buyers’ favor.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $8.39B

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk A-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:52% Call Buyers ($2.3M)

48% PutsMax Pain: $8.00

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your YMM Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $8.09: 1236.1 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $6.63

$8,195

$-1,805 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $8.53

$10,544

+$544 (+5.4%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $13.80

$17,058

+$7,058 (+70.6%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$9	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$13	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$8	58%	C

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Today's Top 3 RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Setups (Live YMM Tape Review)

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YMM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.24%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-10-30O $8.15H $8.38L $8.10C $8.37VOL 6.96M

RES: $8.91SUP: $7.92SMA50: $8.42SMA200: $8.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YMM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 YMM Butterfly Map → + Track YMM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YMM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YMM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YMM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

YMM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is YMM's 12-month stock price target?

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. American (YMM) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $8.53 (+5.4% from $8.09), with a bull-case target of $13.8 and a bear-case floor of $6.63.