Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. American (YMM) Next Earnings Date & Options-Implied ±8.3% Move

$8.09 +0.12% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. American (YMM) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (72% profit margin, 9% return on capital) with steady institutional support. Even if the broader market gets choppy, the company’s underlying cash engine and big-money support put the odds in buyers’ favor.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $8.39B

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk A-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:52% Call Buyers ($2.3M)

48% PutsMax Pain: $8.00

NEXT EST. REPORT: Dec 30, 2026 (~59 DAYS)

Options-Implied Post-Earnings ±8.3% Bell Curve

±$0.67 Expected Swing

TRADER CROWD SENTIMENT POLL

Will YMM Beat & Rip or Miss Next Quarter?

Trailing EPS: $0.45 • YoY Revenue Growth: -2.2%

55% Bullish Beat45% Bearish Miss

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$0	$661.6M	71.9%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$0	$406.9M	71.9%

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YMM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.24%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-10-30O $8.15H $8.38L $8.10C $8.37VOL 6.96M

RES: $8.91SUP: $7.92SMA50: $8.42SMA200: $8.79

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YMM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 YMM Butterfly Map → + Track YMM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

11.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -2.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YMM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YMM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YMM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →