Yarrow Bioscience Inc. (YARW) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$19.90 -0.50% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.84

Yarrow Bioscience Inc. (YARW) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $186.1M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is YARW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Yarrow Bioscience Inc. (NASDAQ: YARW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $19.90 (-0.50% 1D, market cap $186.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, YARW ranks #505 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does YARW compare to WHWK and ZNTL in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), YARW carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, WHWK (Whitehawk Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $188.1M) and ZNTL (Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $188.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YARW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SION leads on capital efficiency (-28.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YARW?
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Per YARW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001566044), Yarrow Bioscience Inc. generated $570.0K in revenue (+13.8% YoY), -$26.5M in net income, and -$33.1M in free cash flow against $30.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.84 (-0.28%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (5)Whales (12)SEC (11)Macro (10)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target
$49 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE YARW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for YARW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY YARW SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (27% of score)

Altman Z-Score 9.31 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$19.71-7.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$18.31+5.2% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$19.27+3.3% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$19.90-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a YARW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While YARW currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($25.58) and Max Pain ($20.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $49.30.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $YARW• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “YARW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your YARW Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $19.90: 502.5 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $14.34
$7,206
$-2,794 (-27.9%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $18.38
$9,236
$-764 (-7.6%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $49.30
$24,774
+$14,774 (+147.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$1974%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$4669%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$1658%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring YARW)

  • ✓Walkthrough of YARW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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YARW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -37.52%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $19.96H $20.61L $19.28C $19.90VOL 288.9K
RES: $53.16SUP: $17.13SMA50: $25.58SMA200: $30.77
$48.97$40.59$32.21$23.83$15.45RES $53.16SUP $17.13$19.902026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

YARW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on YARW today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for YARW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for YARW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (YARW)

Health Care Rank #505 of 1016 ⚔️ WHWK vs YARW Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (YARW vs. WHWK, ZNTL, ADCT, SION)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Yarrow Bioscience Inc. (YARW) ranks #505 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #587 by equity capitalization ($186.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YARW leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while SION leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -28.3% ROIC and — gross margin. YARW currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
YARW ACTIVE
Yarrow Bioscience Inc.
D- 41/100 — — -35.0% -0.50% $186.1M Benchmark Subject
WHWK
Whitehawk Therapeutics Inc.
E 28/100 — 89.4% -35.0% -1.82% $188.1M /whwk-vs-yarw →
ZNTL
Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Inc.
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% -1.51% $188.4M /zntl-vs-yarw →
ADCT
ADC Therapeutics SA
E 33/100 — 92.9% -35.0% +2.69% $190.2M /adct-vs-yarw →
SION
Sionna Therapeutics Inc.
D- 38/100 — — -28.3% -3.25% $180.8M /sion-vs-yarw →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001566044

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Yarrow Bioscience Inc. (YARW) reported GAAP revenue of $570.0K (+13.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $501.0K , and +34.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$26.5M, operating cash flow of -$33.1M, and free cash flow of -$33.1M (+2.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, YARW closed FY2025 with $30.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 9.31, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $570.0K -$26.5M -$33.1M -$33.1M $30.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $501.0K -$39.8M -$34.0M -$34.0M $66.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $424.0K -$28.5M -$25.3M -$25.3M — —

3. YARW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is YARW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Yarrow Bioscience Inc. (NASDAQ: YARW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $19.90 (-0.50% 1D, market cap $186.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, YARW ranks #505 in composite RQD confidence.

How does YARW compare to WHWK and ZNTL in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), YARW carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, WHWK (Whitehawk Therapeutics Inc.) holds a E grade (28/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $188.1M) and ZNTL (Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Inc.) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $188.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YARW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while SION leads on capital efficiency (-28.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for YARW?

Per YARW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001566044), Yarrow Bioscience Inc. generated $570.0K in revenue (+13.8% YoY), -$26.5M in net income, and -$33.1M in free cash flow against $30.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is YARW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

YARW last traded at $19.90 (-0.50% on volume of 288,957 shares), positioning the stock -22.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.58) and -35.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($30.77). Across its 52-week range of $16.05 to $46.95, YARW sits at the 12.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($17.41 to $22.39).

YARW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is YARW's 12-month stock price target?

Yarrow Bioscience Inc. (YARW) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $18.38 (-7.6% from $19.90), with a bull-case target of $49.3 and a bear-case floor of $14.34.

Is YARW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates YARW D- (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 41/100.

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 41/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

YARW — Yarrow Bioscience Inc.: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5
As of: 2026-11-02T15:41:38Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD rating, YARW scores 41 out of 100 with a letter grade of D-, labeled "Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow." The five pillars are: Fundamental Cash Engine at 5/20 (ROIC -35%; FCF yield -17.8%), Whale 13F Flow at 12/20 (institutional accumulation and options positioning), Insider Conviction at 3/20 (SEC Form 4 and Congressional PTR cluster flow), Macro Regime Fit at 10/20 (Beta 1.0; sector sensitivity), and Forensic Balance Sheet at 11/20 (Altman Z 9.31; Piotroski F 3/9; Debt/Equity 0.5). The weakest pillars are Insider Conviction and Fundamental Cash Engine, which together indicate that the company is consuming cash without generating operating returns, and that insider signal flow is weak. The strongest pillar is Whale 13F Flow, which indicates some institutional positioning activity, though the source data does not itemize the holders. For a prospective investor, the rating implies that valuation support must come from future operating progress rather than current cash generation, and that the company's reported losses are the central tradeoff to weigh against any upside thesis. The forensic balance sheet score being mid-range rather than strong means the company is not in an obvious solvency crisis per these metrics, but it is also not a high-quality financial profile.

Business

Yarrow Bioscience Inc. is a NASDAQ-listed issuer in the Health Care sector, within the Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations industry, per the company profile. The source data does not describe its products, customers, or revenue model. Reported revenue is small, at $0.6M for FY 2025, per the SEC financials. The profile identifies the company as having a market capitalization of $0.2B.

Financial Trend

PeriodRevenueOperating IncomeNet IncomeEPSFCFCashDebt
FY 2025$0.6M$-29.7M$-26.5MN/A$-33.1M$24.0MN/A
FY 2024$0.5M$-43.6M$-39.8MN/A$-34.0M$19.9MN/A
FY 2023$0.4M$-29.3M$-28.5MN/A$-25.3MN/AN/A

Per the SEC financials, the company reported operating losses in each period shown, with FY 2025 operating income at $-29.7M against revenue of $0.6M. Per the market data, the operating margin, net margin, and gross margin are -60%, -60%, and 0% respectively, and ROIC is -35%. The Altman Z-Score of 9.31 and Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 are cited in the Roarable RQD rating, and the Debt/Equity ratio is 0.5. Cash rose from $19.9M in FY 2024 to $24.0M in FY 2025 per the SEC financials. Debt is not available in source data.

Recent Catalysts & News Wire Analysis

Per the recent news and catalysts feed, the most recent items are a TradingView estimates report and a Simply Wall St stock analysis, both flagged YELLOW under the Market Wire category. A Stock Titan item flagged RED under Risk Watch reports a Boston fireside chat webcast. Additional Stock Titan items report executive option grants: a COO option award of 89,844 shares at a $20 exercise price, an award of 99,827 shares at $20 each to Lori Payton, and a CEO option award of 465,857 options at a $20 exercise price to Rebecca Frey. The Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph reports no supply-chain links and no proprietary signals.

Butterfly Effect: 2nd-Order Supply-Chain & Sector Ripples

Per the Butterfly Supply-Chain Graph, the supply chain is listed as NONE, with no butterfly links and no proprietary signals. The source data therefore does not establish upstream suppliers, downstream customers, or sector correlation links. An investor should note that the absence of mapped links means second-order ripple effects cannot be assessed from the provided data.

Open Questions

  • What are the company's products, clinical or commercial programs, and revenue sources, given that the profile does not describe them?
  • What is the debt position, since debt is listed as N/A across all reported periods?
  • What is the reason for the absence of EPS and forward estimates, and what is the cash runway implied by FY 2025 cash of $24.0M against FCF of $-33.1M?
  • Who are the institutional holders and insiders behind the Whale 13F and Insider Conviction pillar scores?
  • What do the executive option grants at a $20 exercise price signal relative to the current $19.9 price?

YARW Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Yarrow Bioscience Inc. (YARW) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to YARW Debate Forum (3) ↓
🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

YARW Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $19.90?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON YARW 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION
1. Pick Your Side on YARW:
💡 Tip: Back up your call with a price target or RQD metric to get upvoted to the top.
RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $17.51 (-12.0%)
📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is YARW (D- • RQD 41/100) a Buy at $19.90?

Welcome to the YARW (Yarrow Bioscience Inc.) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 41/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

MU MultipleCompression Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $15.92 (-20.0%)
Spot @ $19.90

Pump the brakes on YARW — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on YARW, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Yarrow Bioscience Inc. expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

MA MacroHawk_NYC Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $24.48 (+23.0%)
Spot @ $19.90

YARW cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on YARW, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $19.90 (52-wk range $16.05 - $46.95), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.

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