Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / XPO / dividends

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XPO Inc. (XPO) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$183.01 +0.73% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

XPO Inc. (XPO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 48/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $21.43B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XPO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.5%

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

0.6% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $102/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XPO)

✓Walkthrough of XPO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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XPO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.47%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-01O $181.7H $183.0L $181.7C $183.0VOL 3.49M

RES: $192.3SUP: $154.4SMA50: $183.5SMA200: $196.9

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XPO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 XPO Butterfly Map → + Track XPO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

44.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XPO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XPO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XPO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XPO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #273 of 304 ⚔️ EXPE vs XPO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (XPO vs. EXPE, GATX, GXO, RXO)

Industry: Transportation Services (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, XPO Inc. (XPO) ranks #273 by composite RQD confidence (48/100, grade D) and #94 by equity capitalization ($21.43B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GATX leads on earnings valuation at 19.1x trailing P/E, while EXPE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 57.1% ROIC and — gross margin. EXPE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with XPO at 48/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
XPO ACTIVE XPO Inc.	D	48/100	67.8x	—	10.8%	+0.73%	$21.43B	Benchmark Subject
EXPE Expedia Group Inc.	C+	66/100	24.9x	—	57.1%	+2.61%	$32.37B	/expe-vs-xpo →
GATX GATX Corporation	D+	57/100	19.1x	—	4.0%	+6.87%	$6.37B	/gatx-vs-xpo →
GXO GXO Logistics Inc.	D	48/100	159.1x	—	4.2%	+1.11%	$5.73B	/gxo-vs-xpo →
RXO RXO Inc.	D+	56/100	—	—	-2.9%	+0.18%	$4.56B	/rxo-vs-xpo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001166003

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), XPO Inc. (XPO) reported GAAP revenue of $8.16B (+1.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $8.07B , and +5.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $316.0M, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, XPO closed FY2025 with $8.19B in total assets against $3.25B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.69, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$8.16B	$316.0M	—	—	$8.19B	$3.25B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$8.07B	$387.0M	—	—	$7.71B	$3.33B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$7.74B	$189.0M	—	—	$11.79B	$2.76B

3. XPO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XPO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, XPO Inc. (NYSE: XPO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 48/100 at a spot price of $183.01 (+0.73% 1D, market cap $21.43B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 4/20. Across 304 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, XPO ranks #273 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XPO compare to EXPE and GATX in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Transportation Services), XPO carries a Roarable D (48/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 67.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.8%. By comparison, EXPE (Expedia Group Inc.) holds a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 24.9x, ROIC 57.1%, cap $32.37B) and GATX (GATX Corporation) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 19.1x, ROIC 4.0%, cap $6.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, GATX leads on earnings multiple (19.1x) while EXPE leads on capital efficiency (57.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPO?

Per XPO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001166003), XPO Inc. generated $8.16B in revenue (+1.1% YoY), $316.0M in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $8.19B in total assets and $3.25B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XPO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XPO last traded at $183.01 (+0.73% on volume of 3,485,053 shares), positioning the stock -0.24% below its 50-day simple moving average ($183.45) and -7.05% below its 200-day simple moving average ($196.90). Across its 52-week range of $124.82 to $232.05, XPO sits at the 54.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.5% ($169.28 to $196.74).

XPO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does XPO pay a dividend and is it safe?

XPO Inc. (XPO) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 0.6% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: XPO RQD Cockpit XPO 12M Forecast XPO Earnings & Move XPO Dividends & DRIP XPO Insiders & 13F XPO Whale Options XPO Profit Sankey XPO News & Why