MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
Why XPL Stock slipped -1.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.50 -1.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.50
Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $47.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.50 (-0.54%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XPL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY XPL SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (29% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.2% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$0.57-10.5% Next Q
49
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$0.51-2% Next Q
46
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$0.50+0% Next Q
44
CurrentGrade D-$0.50-7.2% Hist 90D α
41
Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XPL Turnaround Squeeze
While XPL currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.61) and Max Pain ($0.53) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.03.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XPL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “XPL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why XPL Stock slipped -1.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) slipped -1.95% to $0.50, trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($0.47 – $0.98). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 6% of its 52-week range ($0.47 – $0.98) with RSI-14 at 33.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9.2% around $0.50 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live XPL Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 5h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 6h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 8h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 9h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XPL)
- ✓Walkthrough of XPL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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XPL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.27%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $0.50H $0.51L $0.48C $0.50VOL 98.5K
RES: $0.77SUP: $0.46SMA50: $0.61SMA200: $0.75
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
XPL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XPL today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XPL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XPL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XPL)
Materials Rank #217 of 270
⚔️ NAMM vs XPL Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (XPL vs. NAMM, SRL, USGO, FURY)
Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) ranks #217 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #245 by equity capitalization ($47.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, XPL leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XPL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -15.5% ROIC and — gross margin. SRL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with XPL at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XPL
ACTIVE
Solitario Resources Corp. | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -15.5% | -1.95% | $47.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| NAMM Namib Minerals | D+ | 55/100 | — | — | — | -5.85% | $43.1M | /namm-vs-xpl → |
| SRL Scully Royalty Ltd. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +0.79% | $67.8M | /srl-vs-xpl → |
| USGO U.S. GoldMining Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +3.61% | $78.5M | /usgo-vs-xpl → |
| FURY Fury Gold Mines Limited | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -0.91% | $92.8M | /fury-vs-xpl → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000917225In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$3.8M, operating cash flow of -$3.6M, and free cash flow of -$3.6M (+30.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, XPL closed FY2025 with $25.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$3.8M | -$3.6M | -$3.6M | $25.0M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$5.4M | -$5.1M | -$5.1M | $23.0M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$3.8M | -$3.3M | -$3.3M | — | — |
3. XPL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs XPL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Solitario Resources Corp. (NYSE: XPL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $0.50 (-1.95% 1D, market cap $47.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, XPL ranks #217 in composite RQD confidence.
How does XPL compare to NAMM and SRL in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), XPL carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -15.5%. By comparison, NAMM (Namib Minerals) holds a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $43.1M) and SRL (Scully Royalty Ltd.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $67.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, XPL leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPL leads on capital efficiency (-15.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPL?
Per XPL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000917225), Solitario Resources Corp. generated $0 in revenue, -$3.8M in net income, and -$3.6M in free cash flow against $25.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is XPL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
XPL last traded at $0.50 (-1.95% on volume of 9,308 shares), positioning the stock -18.03% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.61) and -33.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($0.75). Across its 52-week range of $0.47 to $0.98, XPL sits at the 5.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.2% ($1.00 to $0.55).
XPL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is XPL stock moving today?
Why XPL Stock slipped -1.95% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-16% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.