Stock Ratings / Technology / XBP / earnings

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XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±11.7% Move

$2.95 +0.68% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.95

XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $41.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.95 (-0.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XBP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY XBP SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (25% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($1.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (35.6) create a -13 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$3.21-7.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$2.96-0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$2.94+0.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$2.95-6.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a XBP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While XBP currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.03) and Max Pain ($3.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $8.98.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XBP• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “XBP Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 44%NO 56%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±11.7% Swing Band

±$0.35 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

XBP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 44/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (44/100)Model Risk Weight (56/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$0	$0	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$872.7M	-$215.2M	$17.0M	21.6%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$11.0M	-$1.5M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring XBP)

✓Walkthrough of XBP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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XBP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.72%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $2.61H $2.95L $2.61C $2.95VOL 1.6K

RES: $4.18SUP: $2.10SMA50: $3.03SMA200: $3.83

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XBP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 XBP Butterfly Map → + Track XBP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XBP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XBP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XBP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XBP)

Technology Rank #499 of 714 ⚔️ XTIA vs XBP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (XBP vs. XTIA, GMHS, PHUN, PAAI)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) ranks #499 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #569 by equity capitalization ($41.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GMHS leads on earnings valuation at 9.8x trailing P/E, while PAAI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 39.1% ROIC and — gross margin. GMHS currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with XBP at 44/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
XBP ACTIVE XBP Global Holdings Inc.	D	44/100	—	—	—	+0.68%	$41.8M	Benchmark Subject
XTIA XTI Aerospace Inc.	D-	39/100	—	21.9%	-35.0%	+1.84%	$42.7M	/xtia-vs-xbp →
GMHS Gamehaus Holdings Inc. (Class A)	C+	66/100	9.8x	52.7%	—	+2.33%	$38.9M	/gmhs-vs-xbp →
PHUN Phunware Inc.	E	34/100	—	50.6%	-35.0%	-0.53%	$38.5M	/phun-vs-xbp →
PAAI Paradium.AI Inc.	D+	55/100	—	—	39.1%	-4.76%	$38.1M	/paai-vs-xbp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001839530

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (-100.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $872.7M ) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, XBP closed FY2025 with $902.1M in total assets against $353.3M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$902.1M	$353.3M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$872.7M	-$215.2M	$23.3M	$17.0M	$390.4M	$1.5M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$11.0M	-$1.5M	-$1.5M	—	—

3. XBP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XBP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, XBP Global Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: XBP) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $2.95 (+0.68% 1D, market cap $41.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, XBP ranks #499 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XBP compare to XTIA and GMHS in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), XBP carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, XTIA (XTI Aerospace Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $42.7M) and GMHS (Gamehaus Holdings Inc. (Class A)) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 9.8x, ROIC —, cap $38.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GMHS leads on earnings multiple (9.8x) while PAAI leads on capital efficiency (39.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XBP?

Per XBP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001839530), XBP Global Holdings Inc. generated $0 in revenue (-100.0% YoY), $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $902.1M in total assets and $353.3M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XBP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XBP last traded at $2.95 (+0.68% on volume of 7,197 shares), positioning the stock -2.64% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.03) and -22.98% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.83). Across its 52-week range of $2.00 to $8.55, XBP sits at the 14.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.7% ($2.60 to $3.30).

XBP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is XBP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, XBP Global Holdings Inc. (XBP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is XBP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±11.7% event move for XBP, spanning a range between $2.6 and $3.3.

Direct Sub-Reports: XBP RQD Cockpit XBP 12M Forecast XBP Earnings & Move XBP Dividends & DRIP XBP Insiders & 13F XBP Whale Options XBP Profit Sankey XBP News & Why