Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / WVVI / forecast

REED (34) EPSM (35) IBG (34) SRXH (21) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc. (WVVI) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.81 -1.38% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.80

Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc. (WVVI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $9.0M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.80 (-0.44%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WVVI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY WVVI SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (35% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (26% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$2.11-2.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$2.05-7.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.90-4.7% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.81-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WVVI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While WVVI currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.01) and Max Pain ($1.90) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.57.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WVVI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “WVVI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your WVVI Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.81: 5524.9 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $1.26

$6,961

$-3,039 (-30.4%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.61

$8,895

$-1,105 (-11.0%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $3.57

$19,724

+$9,724 (+97.2%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$2	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	UNDERPERFORM	$3	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	SELL	$1	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WVVI)

✓Walkthrough of WVVI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

WVVI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -35.59%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $1.84H $1.84L $1.76C $1.81VOL 4.9K

RES: $3.02SUP: $1.50SMA50: $2.01SMA200: $2.50

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WVVI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WVVI Butterfly Map → + Track WVVI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -6.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WVVI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WVVI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WVVI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WVVI)

Consumer Staples Rank #133 of 146 ⚔️ REED vs WVVI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (WVVI vs. REED, EPSM, IBG, SRXH)

Industry: Beverages (Production/Distribution) (35 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc. (WVVI) ranks #133 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #127 by equity capitalization ($9.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WVVI leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while WVVI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -1.4% ROIC and 60.5% gross margin. EPSM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 35/100 (D-) compared with WVVI at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
WVVI ACTIVE Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc.	E	34/100	—	60.5%	-1.4%	-1.38%	$9.0M	Benchmark Subject
REED Reed's Inc.	E	34/100	—	20.4%	-35.0%	-6.33%	$8.2M	/reed-vs-wvvi →
EPSM Epsium Enterprise Limited (Class A)	D-	35/100	—	14.7%	-10.3%	+0.80%	$11.6M	/epsm-vs-wvvi →
IBG Innovation Beverage Group Limited	E	34/100	—	44.2%	-35.0%	-6.37%	$4.0M	/ibg-vs-wvvi →
SRXH SRX Global Inc.	E	21/100	—	23.4%	-35.0%	-2.88%	$20.5M	/srxh-vs-wvvi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000838875

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc. (WVVI) reported GAAP revenue of $37.2M (-6.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $39.8M , and -5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$917.7K, operating cash flow of -$1.8M, and free cash flow of -$2.2M (+56.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, WVVI closed FY2025 with $107.7M in total assets against $14.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.89, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$37.2M	-$917.7K	-$1.8M	-$2.2M	$107.7M	$14.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$39.8M	-$117.9K	-$3.2M	-$5.1M	$109.0M	$12.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$39.1M	-$1.2M	-$2.0M	-$2.0M	—	—

3. WVVI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WVVI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc. (NASDAQ: WVVI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.81 (-1.38% 1D, market cap $9.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 4/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, WVVI ranks #133 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WVVI compare to REED and EPSM in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Beverages (Production/Distribution)), WVVI carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 60.5%, and ROIC of -1.4%. By comparison, REED (Reed's Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $8.2M) and EPSM (Epsium Enterprise Limited (Class A)) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.3%, cap $11.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, WVVI leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while WVVI leads on capital efficiency (-1.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WVVI?

Per WVVI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000838875), Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc. generated $37.2M in revenue (-6.5% YoY), -$917.7K in net income, and -$2.2M in free cash flow against $107.7M in total assets and $14.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Staples with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WVVI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WVVI last traded at $1.81 (-1.38% on volume of 2,254 shares), positioning the stock -9.95% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.01) and -27.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.50). Across its 52-week range of $1.65 to $3.40, WVVI sits at the 9.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.58 to $2.04).

WVVI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is WVVI's 12-month stock price target?

Willamette Valley Vineyards Inc. (WVVI) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.61 (-11% from $1.81), with a bull-case target of $3.57 and a bear-case floor of $1.26.