Stock Ratings / Industrials / WNC / financials

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Wabash National Corporation (WNC) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$13.26 -4.05% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.14

Wabash National Corporation (WNC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $540.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.14 (-0.92%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WNC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY WNC SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.07 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 84% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$13.20-6.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$12.36+4.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$12.87+3% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$13.26-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a WNC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While WNC currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($12.88) and Max Pain ($13.92) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $15.29.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WNC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “WNC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How WNC Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $2.54B

FY24

Rev $1.95B

FY25

Rev $1.54B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.54B	52%	19.9%	$211.5M	-$13.0M	31.2%
FY 2024	$1.95B	13.6%	-18.3%	-$284.1M	$45.1M	-45%
FY 2023	$2.54B	52%	12.3%	$231.3M	$319.6M	31.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WNC)

✓Walkthrough of WNC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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WNC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +52.59%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $12.90H $13.27L $11.65C $13.26VOL 1.89M

RES: $14.61SUP: $11.34SMA50: $12.88SMA200: $10.86

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WNC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 WNC Butterfly Map → + Track WNC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -20.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WNC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WNC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WNC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WNC)

Industrials Rank #261 of 485 ⚔️ HY vs WNC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (WNC vs. HY, CMCO, MTW, ASTE)

Industry: Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Wabash National Corporation (WNC) ranks #261 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #291 by equity capitalization ($540.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASTE leads on earnings valuation at 23.7x trailing P/E, while WNC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 31.2% ROIC and — gross margin. ASTE currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with WNC at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
WNC ACTIVE Wabash National Corporation	D+	53/100	—	—	31.2%	-4.05%	$540.2M	Benchmark Subject
HY Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)	D+	52/100	—	16.8%	-3.7%	0.00%	$526.1M	/hy-vs-wnc →
CMCO Columbus McKinnon Corporation	D-	42/100	—	30.1%	-10.6%	+1.26%	$440.2M	/cmco-vs-wnc →
MTW Manitowoc Company Inc.	D-	41/100	119.2x	18.1%	6.9%	+2.81%	$858.3M	/mtw-vs-wnc →
ASTE Astec Industries Inc.	C	62/100	23.7x	26.5%	5.6%	+2.41%	$918.9M	/aste-vs-wnc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000879526

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Wabash National Corporation (WNC) reported GAAP revenue of $1.54B (-20.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.95B , and -39.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $211.5M, operating cash flow of $11.7M, and free cash flow of -$13.0M (-128.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, WNC closed FY2025 with $1.17B in total assets against $442.9M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.07, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.54B	$211.5M	$11.7M	-$13.0M	$1.17B	$442.9M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.95B	-$284.1M	$117.3M	$45.1M	$1.41B	$397.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$2.54B	$231.3M	$319.6M	$319.6M	—	—

3. WNC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WNC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Wabash National Corporation (NYSE: WNC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $13.26 (-4.05% 1D, market cap $540.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, WNC ranks #261 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WNC compare to HY and CMCO in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Construction/Ag Equipment/Trucks), WNC carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 31.2%. By comparison, HY (Hyster-Yale Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -3.7%, cap $526.1M) and CMCO (Columbus McKinnon Corporation) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -10.6%, cap $440.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASTE leads on earnings multiple (23.7x) while WNC leads on capital efficiency (31.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WNC?

Per WNC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000879526), Wabash National Corporation generated $1.54B in revenue (-20.8% YoY), $211.5M in net income, and -$13.0M in free cash flow against $1.17B in total assets and $442.9M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WNC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WNC last traded at $13.26 (-4.05% on volume of 2,178,267 shares), positioning the stock +2.95% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.88) and +22.10% above its 200-day simple moving average ($10.86). Across its 52-week range of $6.63 to $14.55, WNC sits at the 83.7% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($11.68 to $14.84).