Weis Markets Inc. (WMK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.6% Move

$74.84 +0.75% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $74.80

Weis Markets Inc. (WMK) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 56/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.85B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $74.80 (-0.05%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 56/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510056
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C+
Cash (9)Whales (9)SEC (16)Macro (11)CEO (11)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.9% Base Target
$88 Bull$74 Base$58 Bear
📬 FREE WMK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WMK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (56/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WMK SCORES 56/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+16/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 5.60 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (20% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 63% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
48
Grade D$72.99+3.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
51
Grade C-$75.25+5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$78.98-5.2% Next Q
Current
56
Grade D+$74.84-0.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (48) → D+ (56)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WMK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 56/100 (D+) score, WMK faces multiple-compression risk if 19.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 22.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($73.10) or 200D SMA ($72.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($74.17) toward Bear Floor ($57.85).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WMK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WMK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 26, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 26, 2026 (~54 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.6% Swing Band

±$4.19 Expected Swing
$70.65 (-5.6%)Spot $74.84$79.03 (+5.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

WMK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 56/100

Trailing EPS: $3.79 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3.5%

Model Bullish Setup (56/100)Model Risk Weight (44/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-27$4.96B$93.7M$4.8M25%
FY 20242024-12-28$4.79B$106.0M$26.1M25%
FY 20232023-12-30$4.71B$100.9M$201.6M25%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WMK)

  • ✓Walkthrough of WMK's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
WMK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +6.64%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $76.00H $76.47L $73.93C $74.84VOL 288.8K
RES: $80.34SUP: $68.99SMA50: $73.10SMA200: $72.62
$84.87$80.20$75.52$70.85$66.18RES $80.34SUP $68.99$74.842026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

WMK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WMK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WMK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WMK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WMK)

Consumer Staples Rank #72 of 146 ⚔️ IMKTA vs WMK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (WMK vs. IMKTA, YSWY, GO, SFM)

Industry: Food Chains (14 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Weis Markets Inc. (WMK) ranks #72 by composite RQD confidence (56/100, grade D+) and #58 by equity capitalization ($1.85B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SFM leads on earnings valuation at 8.5x trailing P/E, while SFM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 23.5% ROIC and 38.8% gross margin. SFM currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with WMK at 56/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
WMK ACTIVE
Weis Markets Inc.
D+ 56/100 19.8x 25.0% 7.3% +0.75% $1.85B Benchmark Subject
IMKTA
Ingles Markets Incorporated (Class A)
C- 59/100 18.9x 23.9% 4.4% -0.49% $1.58B /imkta-vs-wmk →
YSWY
Yesway Inc. (Class A)
C- 60/100 — — — +0.79% $1.54B /yswy-vs-wmk →
GO
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
D+ 55/100 — 30.3% -12.6% +2.47% $1.28B /go-vs-wmk →
SFM
Sprouts Farmers Market Inc.
C+ 66/100 8.5x 38.8% 23.5% -22.58% $4.43B /sfm-vs-wmk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-27 • CIK 0000105418

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27), Weis Markets Inc. (WMK) reported GAAP revenue of $4.96B (+3.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.79B , and +5.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $93.7M, operating cash flow of $207.2M, and free cash flow of $4.8M (-81.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, WMK closed FY2025 with $2.03B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.60, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-27 $4.96B $93.7M $207.2M $4.8M $2.03B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-28 $4.79B $106.0M $187.5M $26.1M $2.09B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-30 $4.71B $100.9M $201.6M $201.6M — —

3. WMK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is WMK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Weis Markets Inc. (NYSE: WMK) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 56/100 at a spot price of $74.84 (+0.75% 1D, market cap $1.85B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, WMK ranks #72 in composite RQD confidence.

How does WMK compare to IMKTA and YSWY in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Food Chains), WMK carries a Roarable D+ (56/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 19.8x, gross margin of 25.0%, and ROIC of 7.3%. By comparison, IMKTA (Ingles Markets Incorporated (Class A)) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 18.9x, ROIC 4.4%, cap $1.58B) and YSWY (Yesway Inc. (Class A)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SFM leads on earnings multiple (8.5x) while SFM leads on capital efficiency (23.5% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WMK?

Per WMK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-27, CIK 0000105418), Weis Markets Inc. generated $4.96B in revenue (+3.5% YoY), $93.7M in net income, and $4.8M in free cash flow against $2.03B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is WMK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

WMK last traded at $74.84 (+0.75% on volume of 217,478 shares), positioning the stock +2.38% above its 50-day simple moving average ($73.10) and +3.06% above its 200-day simple moving average ($72.62). Across its 52-week range of $59.99 to $83.74, WMK sits at the 62.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.6% ($70.65 to $79.03).

WMK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is WMK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Weis Markets Inc. (WMK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 26, 2026.

How much is WMK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.6% event move for WMK, spanning a range between $70.65 and $79.03.

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