MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why WASH Stock advanced +0.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$39.30 +0.80% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.45
Washington Trust Bancorp Inc. (WASH) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 74/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B • BUY
Cap $749.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $39.45 (+0.38%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 135.6% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 74/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 12% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+7.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for WASH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (74/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY WASH SCORES 74/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 91% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-8 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B-$37.07+0% Next Q
66
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$37.06+5.3% Next Q
69
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$39.02+0.7% Next Q
71
CurrentGrade B$39.30+7.3% Hist 90D α
74
Trajectory: B- (66) → B (74)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the WASH Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 74/100 (B) score, WASH faces multiple-compression risk if 14.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.73) or 200D SMA ($35.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($42.13) toward Bear Floor ($32.23).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $WASH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “WASH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why WASH Stock advanced +0.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Washington Trust Bancorp Inc. (WASH) advanced +0.80% to $39.30, trading at 91% of its 52-week range ($26.52 – $40.54). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 91% of its 52-week range ($26.52 – $40.54) with RSI-14 at 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.4% around $39.30 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $78.3M annual free cash flow.
Live WASH Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (WASH Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
WASH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +25.04%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $39.34H $39.34L $38.48C $39.30VOL 104.4K
RES: $41.36SUP: $35.83SMA50: $38.73SMA200: $35.62
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
WASH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +19.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WASH today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WASH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for WASH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WASH)
Financials Rank #60 of 1096
⚔️ SHBI vs WASH Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (WASH vs. SHBI, AROW, PFIS, CWBC)
Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Washington Trust Bancorp Inc. (WASH) ranks #60 by composite RQD confidence (74/100, grade B) and #612 by equity capitalization ($749.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PFIS leads on earnings valuation at 12.1x trailing P/E, while PFIS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and — gross margin. WASH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 74/100 (B).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WASH
ACTIVE
Washington Trust Bancorp Inc. | B | 74/100 | 14.3x | — | 9.6% | +0.80% | $749.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| SHBI Shore Bancshares Inc | B | 73/100 | 12.7x | — | 10.1% | +0.62% | $757.2M | /shbi-vs-wash → |
| AROW Arrow Financial Corporation | C+ | 66/100 | 16.3x | — | 10.2% | +1.67% | $716.2M | /arow-vs-wash → |
| PFIS Peoples Financial Services Corp. | C+ | 67/100 | 12.1x | — | 11.4% | +0.37% | $715.3M | /pfis-vs-wash → |
| CWBC Community West Bancshares | C- | 59/100 | 18.6x | — | 9.3% | +0.97% | $708.1M | /cwbc-vs-wash → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000737468In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Washington Trust Bancorp Inc. (WASH) reported GAAP revenue of $57.7M (+19.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $48.2M , and +29.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $52.2M, operating cash flow of $80.3M, and free cash flow of $78.3M (+45.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, WASH closed FY2025 with $6.62B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $57.7M | $52.2M | $80.3M | $78.3M | $6.62B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $48.2M | -$28.1M | $57.7M | $53.7M | $6.93B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $44.5M | $48.2M | $31.6M | $31.6M | — | — |
3. WASH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs WASH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Washington Trust Bancorp Inc. (NASDAQ: WASH) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 74/100 at a spot price of $39.30 (+0.80% 1D, market cap $749.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, WASH ranks #60 in composite RQD confidence.
How does WASH compare to SHBI and AROW in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), WASH carries a Roarable B (74/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.3x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.6%. By comparison, SHBI (Shore Bancshares Inc) holds a B grade (73/100 RQD, P/E 12.7x, ROIC 10.1%, cap $757.2M) and AROW (Arrow Financial Corporation) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 16.3x, ROIC 10.2%, cap $716.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, PFIS leads on earnings multiple (12.1x) while PFIS leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WASH?
Per WASH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000737468), Washington Trust Bancorp Inc. generated $57.7M in revenue (+19.7% YoY), $52.2M in net income, and $78.3M in free cash flow against $6.62B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is WASH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
WASH last traded at $39.30 (+0.80% on volume of 128,286 shares), positioning the stock +1.47% above its 50-day simple moving average ($38.73) and +10.33% above its 200-day simple moving average ($35.62). Across its 52-week range of $26.52 to $40.54, WASH sits at the 91.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.4% ($37.57 to $41.03).
WASH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is WASH stock moving today?
Why WASH Stock advanced +0.80% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 10% return on capital) with steady institutional support.