Stock Ratings / Technology / VWAV / dividends

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VisionWave Holdings Inc. (VWAV) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

Q: Is VWAV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, VisionWave Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: VWAV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.89 (+10.73% 1D, market cap $9.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, VWAV ranks #392 in composite RQD confidence.

Q: How does VWAV compare to HPAI and YXT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), VWAV carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HPAI (Helport AI Limited) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC —, cap $9.4M) and YXT (YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED American Depository Shares) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HPAI leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while WIMI leads on capital efficiency (-3.4% ROIC).

Q: What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VWAV?

Per VWAV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0002038439), VisionWave Holdings Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$6.5M in net income, and -$2.8M in free cash flow against $18.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Q: Where is VWAV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VWAV last traded at $2.89 (+10.73% on volume of 155,616 shares), positioning the stock -63.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.91) and -96.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($90.22). Across its 52-week range of $2.20 to $316.00, VWAV sits at the 0.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.53 to $3.25).

Q: Does VWAV pay a dividend and is it safe?

VisionWave Holdings Inc. (VWAV) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

$2.89 +10.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.94

VisionWave Holdings Inc. (VWAV) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 51/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $9.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.94 (+1.74%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 51/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VWAV)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (51/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VWAV SCORES 51/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 29.7 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (27% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 15 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$5.74-25.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$4.26-12.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$3.72-22.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D$2.89-1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (59) → D (51)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VWAV Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VWAV currently carries a cautious 51/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.91) and Max Pain ($3.03) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $331.80.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VWAV• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VWAV Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”

YES 51%NO 49%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.7K

Yr 1

$11.4K

Yr 2

$12.2K

Yr 3

$13.0K

Yr 4

$13.9K

Yr 5

$14.8K

Yr 6

$15.8K

Yr 7

$16.9K

Yr 8

$18.1K

Yr 9

$19.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VWAV)

✓Walkthrough of VWAV's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

VWAV // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -97.70%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $2.68H $2.89L $2.53C $2.89VOL 63.5K

RES: $-8.44SUP: $-52.39SMA50: $7.91SMA200: $90.22

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VWAV Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VWAV Butterfly Map → + Track VWAV →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VWAV today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VWAV. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VWAV today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VWAV)

Technology Rank #392 of 714 ⚔️ HPAI vs VWAV Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (VWAV vs. HPAI, YXT, WIMI, DTSS)

Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, VisionWave Holdings Inc. (VWAV) ranks #392 by composite RQD confidence (51/100, grade D) and #649 by equity capitalization ($9.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HPAI leads on earnings valuation at 5.1x trailing P/E, while WIMI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -3.4% ROIC and — gross margin. HPAI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with VWAV at 51/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VWAV ACTIVE VisionWave Holdings Inc.	D	51/100	—	—	-35.0%	+10.73%	$9.4M	Benchmark Subject
HPAI Helport AI Limited	C	63/100	5.1x	54.9%	—	-3.92%	$9.4M	/hpai-vs-vwav →
YXT YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED American Depository Shares	D-	41/100	—	68.3%	-35.0%	-4.11%	$9.3M	/yxt-vs-vwav →
WIMI WiMi Hologram Cloud Inc. (Class B)	D-	38/100	—	—	-3.4%	+3.15%	$9.5M	/wimi-vs-vwav →
DTSS Datasea Intelligent Technology Ltd. (Class A)	D-	43/100	—	3.5%	—	-10.28%	$9.1M	/dtss-vs-vwav →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0002038439

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), VisionWave Holdings Inc. (VWAV) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$6.5M, operating cash flow of -$2.8M, and free cash flow of -$2.8M . On the balance sheet, VWAV closed FY2025 with $18.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$0	-$6.5M	-$2.8M	-$2.8M	$18.4M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$3.8M	—

3. VWAV Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VWAV stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, VisionWave Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ: VWAV) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 51/100 at a spot price of $2.89 (+10.73% 1D, market cap $9.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, VWAV ranks #392 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VWAV compare to HPAI and YXT in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), VWAV carries a Roarable D (51/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, HPAI (Helport AI Limited) holds a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 5.1x, ROIC —, cap $9.4M) and YXT (YXT.COM GROUP HOLDING LIMITED American Depository Shares) posts a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $9.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, HPAI leads on earnings multiple (5.1x) while WIMI leads on capital efficiency (-3.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VWAV?

Per VWAV's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0002038439), VisionWave Holdings Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$6.5M in net income, and -$2.8M in free cash flow against $18.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VWAV trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VWAV last traded at $2.89 (+10.73% on volume of 155,616 shares), positioning the stock -63.46% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.91) and -96.80% below its 200-day simple moving average ($90.22). Across its 52-week range of $2.20 to $316.00, VWAV sits at the 0.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.7 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.53 to $3.25).

VWAV Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does VWAV pay a dividend and is it safe?

VisionWave Holdings Inc. (VWAV) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: VWAV RQD Cockpit VWAV 12M Forecast VWAV Earnings & Move VWAV Dividends & DRIP VWAV Insiders & 13F VWAV Whale Options VWAV Profit Sankey VWAV News & Why