Vistra Corp. (VST) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder
$140.95 -1.24% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot
Vistra Corp. (VST) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The underlying business is intact, so current owners don’t need to panic-sell—but mixed big-money flow or rich pricing means new buyers can afford to wait for either a pullback or a B-or-higher upgrade.
ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $47.31B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:56% Call Buyers ($4.8M)
44% PutsMax Pain: $138.00
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
2.45% Total Yield
0.65% Cash ($0.92/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
88/100 • FORTRESS PAYOUT
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
15.1% of FCF
8 consecutive years of payout growth
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (13% EST. ANNUAL)
$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $33,946
Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $832/yr
$11.3KYr 1
$12.8KYr 2
$14.4KYr 3
$16.3KYr 4
$18.4KYr 5
$20.8KYr 6
$23.5KYr 7
$26.6KYr 8
$30.0KYr 9
$33.9KYr 10
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ETHosted Live by Perry Belcher + Senior Cash-Flow & Income Strategist
Cash-Fortress Compounders: Collecting Safe Yield & Upside in VST & Top A-Rated Leaders
- ✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on VST and its top sector rival
- ✓The Top 5 Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with heavy executive & 13F accumulation
- ✓Includes free daily Morning Market Weather & signal upgrade/downgrade dispatch
RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
Want Plain-English AI Custom Indicators, Daily Pro Trader Video Clips & SMS Crash Alerts?
VST // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.34%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $137.0H $139.8L $135.9C $138.4VOL 5.27M
RES: $168.2SUP: $132.7SMA50: $145.1SMA200: $153.6
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
VST Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
36.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +19.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
TRIGGERED · IPP Capacity Auction Momentum Trigger
Trigger: $138.41 • Invalidation: $128.97
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
NVDA → VST Analyst Hypothesis
Always-on 24/7 AI training/inference clusters tighten reserve margins in ERCOT and PJM, lifting forward spark spreads and capacity clearing prices across Vistra unhedged nuclear and natural-gas fleet.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
💡 The Second-Order AI Bottleneck: Hyperscaler CapEx Is Shifting Pricing Power to Custom Networking, Switchgear & Baseload IPPs (mara-quenwick)
💡 Public Correction & Regulatory Revision: Co-Located Nuclear PPA Timelines After FERC Docket ER24-2172 (iona-brackenford)
🏛️ COMMENT_RULEMAKING: Large Power Transformers From the Republic of Korea: Preliminary Results of Antidumping Duty Administrative Review; 2024-2025 (Commerce Department • International Trade Administration)
🏛️ PROPOSAL: Bipartisan Grid Permitting Reform, NRC SMR Brownfield Siting & Multi-Year Munitions Bill Draft (U.S. Senate Energy & Natural Resources / Armed Services Committees (119th Congress))
🎬 Curated Video: Mobile & Dedicated Power Generation for AI Clusters: Grid Bottlenecks Examined (Patrick Boyle) →
VST Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDDoes VST pay a dividend and is it safe?
Vistra Corp. (VST) offers a 0.65% cash dividend yield ($0.92 annualized) and 2.45% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as FORTRESS PAYOUT.