Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / VIRC / dividends

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Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$6.23 -0.80% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.21

Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $98.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.21 (-0.33%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 6/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VIRC)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VIRC SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (32% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (20% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 47% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality6/20 pts (-14 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 1.8% operating margin leave 14 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$6.48-0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$6.47-2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$6.29-1% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$6.23-7.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (49) → D- (41)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VIRC Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VIRC currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (6/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.31) and Max Pain ($6.54) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.83.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.36% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VIRC• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VIRC Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 41%NO 59%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

2.2% Total Yield

1.6% Cash ($0.10/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

96% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.7% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,408

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $383/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.2K

Yr 2

$11.8K

Yr 3

$12.5K

Yr 4

$13.2K

Yr 5

$13.9K

Yr 6

$14.7K

Yr 7

$15.6K

Yr 8

$16.5K

Yr 9

$17.4K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VIRC)

✓Walkthrough of VIRC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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VIRC // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +2.81%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $6.21H $6.23L $6.20C $6.23VOL 11.0K

RES: $7.04SUP: $6.11SMA50: $6.31SMA200: $6.19

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VIRC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VIRC Butterfly Map → + Track VIRC →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

29.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -25.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VIRC today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VIRC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VIRC today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VIRC)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #811 of 1011 ⚔️ WBX vs VIRC Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VIRC vs. WBX, YDDL, HDSN, ASLE)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) ranks #811 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #760 by equity capitalization ($98.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, YDDL leads on earnings valuation at 5.2x trailing P/E, while YDDL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 22.9% ROIC and 23.9% gross margin. WBX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with VIRC at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VIRC ACTIVE Virco Manufacturing Corporation	D-	41/100	38.2x	40.7%	3.0%	-0.80%	$98.2M	Benchmark Subject
WBX Wallbox N.V. (Class A)	D+	58/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$66.9M	/wbx-vs-virc →
YDDL One and One Green Technologies. Inc (Class A)	D	49/100	5.2x	23.9%	22.9%	-1.79%	$61.6M	/yddl-vs-virc →
HDSN Hudson Technologies Inc.	D-	35/100	11.2x	25.2%	7.2%	-15.49%	$186.0M	/hdsn-vs-virc →
ASLE AerSale Corporation	D-	43/100	26.1x	31.5%	2.3%	+2.40%	$223.8M	/asle-vs-virc →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-31 • CIK 0000751365

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31), Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) reported GAAP revenue of $199.7M (-25.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $266.2M , and -25.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $2.6M, operating cash flow of -$841.0K, and free cash flow of -$6.7M (-125.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, VIRC closed FY2025 with $174.2M in total assets against $3.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-31	$199.7M	$2.6M	-$841.0K	-$6.7M	$174.2M	$3.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2025-01-31	$266.2M	$21.6M	$33.1M	$26.8M	$191.9M	$3.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2024-01-31	$269.1M	$21.9M	$27.0M	$27.0M	—	—

3. VIRC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VIRC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Virco Manufacturing Corporation (NASDAQ: VIRC) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $6.23 (-0.80% 1D, market cap $98.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VIRC ranks #811 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VIRC compare to WBX and YDDL in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), VIRC carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 38.2x, gross margin of 40.7%, and ROIC of 3.0%. By comparison, WBX (Wallbox N.V. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $66.9M) and YDDL (One and One Green Technologies. Inc (Class A)) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E 5.2x, ROIC 22.9%, cap $61.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, YDDL leads on earnings multiple (5.2x) while YDDL leads on capital efficiency (22.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VIRC?

Per VIRC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-31, CIK 0000751365), Virco Manufacturing Corporation generated $199.7M in revenue (-25.0% YoY), $2.6M in net income, and -$6.7M in free cash flow against $174.2M in total assets and $3.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VIRC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VIRC last traded at $6.23 (-0.80% on volume of 6,094 shares), positioning the stock -1.27% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.31) and +0.65% above its 200-day simple moving average ($6.19). Across its 52-week range of $5.16 to $7.46, VIRC sits at the 46.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.7% ($5.94 to $6.52).

VIRC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does VIRC pay a dividend and is it safe?

Virco Manufacturing Corporation (VIRC) offers a 1.6% cash dividend yield ($0.10 annualized) and 2.2% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

Direct Sub-Reports: VIRC RQD Cockpit VIRC 12M Forecast VIRC Earnings & Move VIRC Dividends & DRIP VIRC Insiders & 13F VIRC Whale Options VIRC Profit Sankey VIRC News & Why