Why VIPS Stock advanced +1.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$12.74 +1.92% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.81

Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (VIPS) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (23% profit margin, 36% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $6.12B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $12.82 (+0.59%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 5.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510073
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk C+
Cash (16)Whales (13)SEC (12)Macro (15)CEO (17)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target
$22 Bull$14 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE VIPS RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VIPS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VIPS SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 5.2% FCF Margin ($782.0M FCF) & 23.1% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk12/20 pts (-8 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 8 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
81
Grade A-$12.90-0.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
78
Grade A-$12.86-2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
76
Grade B+$12.54+1.6% Next Q
Current
73
Grade B$12.74+7.1% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (81) → B (73)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the VIPS Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, VIPS faces multiple-compression risk if 5.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.6% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.83) or 200D SMA ($14.62) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($13.60) toward Bear Floor ($10.45).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VIPS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VIPS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why VIPS Stock advanced +1.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (VIPS) advanced +1.92% to $12.74, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($12.02 – $20.49). High-quality cash engine (23% profit margin, 36% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($12.02 – $20.49) with RSI-14 at 52.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±5.4% around $12.74 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B (Buy) backed by 23.1% gross margin and $782.0M annual free cash flow.
Live VIPS Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (VIPS Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
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VIPS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.47%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $12.82H $13.03L $12.74C $12.74VOL 2.34M
RES: $16.33SUP: $11.64SMA50: $12.83SMA200: $14.62
$17.84$16.26$14.69$13.11$11.53RES $16.33SUP $11.64$12.742026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VIPS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-11.1%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VIPS today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VIPS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VIPS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VIPS)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #105 of 1011 ⚔️ NSIT vs VIPS Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VIPS vs. NSIT, CHWY, PTRN, W)

Industry: Catalog/Specialty Distribution (29 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (VIPS) ranks #105 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #236 by equity capitalization ($6.12B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VIPS leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while VIPS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 35.7% ROIC and 23.1% gross margin. VIPS currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VIPS ACTIVE
Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two
B 73/100 5.9x 23.1% 35.7% +1.92% $6.12B Benchmark Subject
NSIT
Insight Enterprises Inc.
C- 60/100 33.3x 21.4% 6.0% +0.41% $5.24B /nsit-vs-vips →
CHWY
Chewy Inc.
C- 60/100 37.6x 29.8% 30.0% +0.92% $8.37B /chwy-vs-vips →
PTRN
Pattern Group Inc. (Series A)
B- 70/100 — 43.6% 6.9% +1.08% $3.00B /ptrn-vs-vips →
W
Wayfair Inc.
C- 61/100 — 30.2% 1.0% +5.35% $16.45B /w-vs-vips →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001529192

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (VIPS) reported GAAP revenue of $15.15B (+2.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $14.85B ) , GAAP net income of $1.04B, operating cash flow of $1.07B, and free cash flow of $782.0M (-10.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, VIPS closed FY2025 with $11.27B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.43, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $15.15B $1.04B $1.07B $782.0M $11.27B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $14.85B $0 $1.25B $877.6M $10.27B —

3. VIPS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VIPS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two (NYSE: VIPS) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $12.74 (+1.92% 1D, market cap $6.12B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VIPS ranks #105 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VIPS compare to NSIT and CHWY in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Catalog/Specialty Distribution), VIPS carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 5.9x, gross margin of 23.1%, and ROIC of 35.7%. By comparison, NSIT (Insight Enterprises Inc.) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 33.3x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $5.24B) and CHWY (Chewy Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 37.6x, ROIC 30.0%, cap $8.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, VIPS leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while VIPS leads on capital efficiency (35.7% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VIPS?

Per VIPS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001529192), Vipshop Holdings Limited each representing two generated $15.15B in revenue (+2.0% YoY), $1.04B in net income, and $782.0M in free cash flow against $11.27B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (23% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VIPS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VIPS last traded at $12.74 (+1.92% on volume of 2,025,082 shares), positioning the stock -0.70% below its 50-day simple moving average ($12.83) and -12.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.62). Across its 52-week range of $12.02 to $20.49, VIPS sits at the 8.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 52.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.4% ($12.05 to $13.43).

VIPS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is VIPS stock moving today?

Why VIPS Stock advanced +1.92% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (23% profit margin, 36% return on capital) with steady institutional support.

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