Stock Ratings / Materials / VGZ / earnings

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Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.6% Move

$2.58 -4.44% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 35/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $376.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

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SEC

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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VGZ)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.6% Swing Band

±$0.25 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

VGZ Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 35/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (35/100)Model Risk Weight (65/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	-$7.5M	-$7.2M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$11.2M	-$6.1M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	-$6.6M	-$5.9M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VGZ)

✓Walkthrough of VGZ's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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VGZ // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +19.44%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $2.50H $2.58L $2.43C $2.58VOL 3.40M

RES: $2.99SUP: $2.04SMA50: $2.50SMA200: $2.27

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VGZ Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VGZ Butterfly Map → + Track VGZ →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VGZ today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VGZ. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VGZ today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VGZ)

Materials Rank #239 of 270 ⚔️ URG vs VGZ Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (VGZ vs. URG, CMCL, TMQ, VOXR)

Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) ranks #239 by composite RQD confidence (35/100, grade D-) and #188 by equity capitalization ($376.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VGZ leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TMQ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -34.0% ROIC and — gross margin. CMCL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 50/100 (D) compared with VGZ at 35/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VGZ ACTIVE Vista Gold Corp	D-	35/100	—	—	-35.0%	-4.44%	$376.6M	Benchmark Subject
URG Ur Energy Inc (Canada)	D-	42/100	—	0.3%	-35.0%	-2.38%	$356.6M	/urg-vs-vgz →
CMCL Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc	D	50/100	—	—	—	-1.70%	$413.8M	/cmcl-vs-vgz →
TMQ Trilogy Metals Inc.	D-	43/100	—	—	-34.0%	-0.86%	$418.9M	/tmq-vs-vgz →
VOXR Vox Royalty Corp.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.61%	$337.1M	/voxr-vs-vgz →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000783324

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Vista Gold Corp (VGZ) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$7.5M, operating cash flow of -$6.6M, and free cash flow of -$7.2M (-18.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, VGZ closed FY2025 with $16.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$7.5M	-$6.6M	-$7.2M	$16.3M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$11.2M	-$5.7M	-$6.1M	$19.0M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	-$6.6M	-$5.9M	-$5.9M	—	—

3. VGZ Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VGZ stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Vista Gold Corp (NYSE: VGZ) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 35/100 at a spot price of $2.58 (-4.44% 1D, market cap $376.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 6/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, VGZ ranks #239 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VGZ compare to URG and CMCL in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), VGZ carries a Roarable D- (35/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, URG (Ur Energy Inc (Canada)) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $356.6M) and CMCL (Caledonia Mining Corporation Plc) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $413.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VGZ leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMQ leads on capital efficiency (-34.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VGZ?

Per VGZ's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000783324), Vista Gold Corp generated $0 in revenue, -$7.5M in net income, and -$7.2M in free cash flow against $16.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VGZ trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VGZ last traded at $2.58 (-4.44% on volume of 2,234,219 shares), positioning the stock +3.20% above its 50-day simple moving average ($2.50) and +13.66% above its 200-day simple moving average ($2.27). Across its 52-week range of $1.43 to $3.13, VGZ sits at the 67.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($2.33 to $2.83).