Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / VENU / financials

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Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$1.40 +3.70% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.41

Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $82.4M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on VENU Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is VENU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Venu Holding Corporation (NYSE: VENU) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $1.40 (+3.70% 1D, market cap $82.4M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 3/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, VENU ranks #917 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does VENU compare to CPHC and GDHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation), VENU carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -31.1%. By comparison, CPHC (Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New') holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 2.7%, cap $81.2M) and GDHG (Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $72.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, VENU leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CPHC leads on capital efficiency (2.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VENU?

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Per VENU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001770501), Venu Holding Corporation generated $17.9M in revenue (+0.4% YoY), -$44.1M in net income, and -$134.0M in free cash flow against $370.6M in total assets and $56.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.41 (+0.48%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 3/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VENU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY VENU SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+13/20 pts (38% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (32% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$1.34-13.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$1.16+13.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$1.32+6.1% Next Q

Current

Grade E$1.40-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (26) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VENU Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VENU currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.54) and Max Pain ($1.47) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $14.66.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VENU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “VENU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How VENU Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $12.6M

FY24

Rev $17.8M

FY25

Rev $17.9M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$17.9M	52%	-80%	-$44.1M	-$134.0M	-31.1%
FY 2024	$17.8M	52%	-80%	-$30.3M	-$68.7M	-19.7%
FY 2023	$12.6M	52%	-80%	-$10.5M	-$4.9M	-31.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VENU)

✓Walkthrough of VENU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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VENU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -63.64%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT

2026-10-30O $1.37H $1.42L $1.26C $1.40VOL 455.9K

RES: $1.33SUP: $0.91SMA50: $1.54SMA200: $3.27

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VENU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 VENU Butterfly Map → + Track VENU →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +0.4% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VENU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VENU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VENU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VENU)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #917 of 1011 ⚔️ CPHC vs VENU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (VENU vs. CPHC, GDHG, TP, GAME)

Industry: Services-Misc. Amusement & Recreation (51 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) ranks #917 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #769 by equity capitalization ($82.4M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, VENU leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CPHC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 2.7% ROIC and — gross margin. TP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with VENU at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
VENU ACTIVE Venu Holding Corporation	E	34/100	—	—	-31.1%	+3.70%	$82.4M	Benchmark Subject
CPHC Canterbury Park Holding Corporation 'New'	D+	58/100	—	—	2.7%	-0.38%	$81.2M	/cphc-vs-venu →
GDHG Golden Heaven Group Holdings Ltd. (Class A)	D	47/100	—	50.2%	—	-3.51%	$72.0M	/gdhg-vs-venu →
TP Ticketplus Ltd.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	0.00%	$103.1M	/tp-vs-venu →
GAME GameSquare Holdings Inc.	E	34/100	—	43.4%	-35.0%	+1.17%	$47.9M	/game-vs-venu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001770501

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Venu Holding Corporation (VENU) reported GAAP revenue of $17.9M (+0.4% vs. FY2024 revenue of $17.8M , and +42.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.1M, operating cash flow of $7.6M, and free cash flow of -$134.0M (-95.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, VENU closed FY2025 with $370.6M in total assets against $56.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$17.9M	-$44.1M	$7.6M	-$134.0M	$370.6M	$56.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$17.8M	-$30.3M	$3.8M	-$68.7M	$178.4M	$14.1M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$12.6M	-$10.5M	-$4.9M	-$4.9M	—	—

3. VENU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VENU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does VENU compare to CPHC and GDHG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VENU?

Where is VENU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VENU last traded at $1.40 (+3.70% on volume of 427,188 shares), positioning the stock -9.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.54) and -57.19% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.27). Across its 52-week range of $1.09 to $13.96, VENU sits at the 2.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.23 to $1.57).

VENU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Venu Holding Corporation (VENU)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), VENU converted $17.9M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: VENU RQD Cockpit VENU 12M Forecast VENU Earnings & Move VENU Dividends & DRIP VENU Insiders & 13F VENU Whale Options VENU Profit Sankey VENU News & Why