Stock Ratings / Materials / USLM / earnings

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United States Lime & Minerals Inc. (USLM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±5.9% Move

$113.89 +4.20% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.02

United States Lime & Minerals Inc. (USLM) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 73/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (49% profit margin, 48% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $3.27B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $115.03 (+1.00%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 27.4% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 73/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 69.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for USLM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (73/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY USLM SCORES 73/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 27.4% FCF Margin ($102.3M FCF) & 48.9% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$108.58-2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$106.05+5.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$111.71+2% Next Q

Current

Grade B$113.89+7.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (65) → B (73)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the USLM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 73/100 (B) score, USLM faces multiple-compression risk if 24.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 46.4% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($112.73) or 200D SMA ($115.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($121.58) toward Bear Floor ($93.39).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $USLM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “USLM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 73%NO 27%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±5.9% Swing Band

±$6.72 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

USLM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 73/100

Trailing EPS: $4.68 • YoY Revenue Growth: 17.3%

Model Bullish Setup (73/100)Model Risk Weight (27/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$372.7M	$134.3M	$102.3M	48.9%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$317.7M	$108.8M	$98.6M	45.3%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$281.3M	$74.5M	$92.3M	48.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating USLM & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on USLM
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

USLM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +5.78%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $112.3H $115.3L $111.3C $113.9VOL 111.8K

RES: $130.5SUP: $104.6SMA50: $112.7SMA200: $115.1

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

USLM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 USLM Butterfly Map → + Track USLM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

18.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +17.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on USLM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for USLM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for USLM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (USLM)

Materials Rank #8 of 270 ⚔️ KNF vs USLM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (USLM vs. KNF, TTAM, MDU, LEU)

Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, United States Lime & Minerals Inc. (USLM) ranks #8 by composite RQD confidence (73/100, grade B) and #91 by equity capitalization ($3.27B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, KNF leads on earnings valuation at 20.8x trailing P/E, while USLM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 48.0% ROIC and 48.9% gross margin. USLM currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 73/100 (B).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
USLM ACTIVE United States Lime & Minerals Inc.	B	73/100	24.3x	48.9%	48.0%	+4.20%	$3.27B	Benchmark Subject
KNF Knife Riv Holding Co.	B-	70/100	20.8x	18.4%	8.3%	+6.18%	$3.27B	/knf-vs-uslm →
TTAM Titan America SA	C	62/100	—	—	—	+3.93%	$2.59B	/ttam-vs-uslm →
MDU MDU Resources Group Inc. (Holding Company)	C-	61/100	21.8x	—	4.3%	+1.13%	$4.15B	/mdu-vs-uslm →
LEU Centrus Energy Corp. (Class A)	C-	59/100	28.0x	26.2%	36.4%	-1.27%	$2.18B	/leu-vs-uslm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000082020

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), United States Lime & Minerals Inc. (USLM) reported GAAP revenue of $372.7M (+17.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $317.7M , and +32.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $134.3M, operating cash flow of $165.0M, and free cash flow of $102.3M (+3.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, USLM closed FY2025 with $681.0M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 8/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$372.7M	$134.3M	$165.0M	$102.3M	$681.0M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$317.7M	$108.8M	$126.0M	$98.6M	$543.2M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$281.3M	$74.5M	$92.3M	$92.3M	—	—

3. USLM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is USLM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, United States Lime & Minerals Inc. (NASDAQ: USLM) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 73/100 at a spot price of $113.89 (+4.20% 1D, market cap $3.27B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, USLM ranks #8 in composite RQD confidence.

How does USLM compare to KNF and TTAM in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), USLM carries a Roarable B (73/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.3x, gross margin of 48.9%, and ROIC of 48.0%. By comparison, KNF (Knife Riv Holding Co.) holds a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 20.8x, ROIC 8.3%, cap $3.27B) and TTAM (Titan America SA) posts a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $2.59B). Among the 5-stock peer group, KNF leads on earnings multiple (20.8x) while USLM leads on capital efficiency (48.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USLM?

Per USLM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000082020), United States Lime & Minerals Inc. generated $372.7M in revenue (+17.3% YoY), $134.3M in net income, and $102.3M in free cash flow against $681.0M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (49% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is USLM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

USLM last traded at $113.89 (+4.20% on volume of 124,651 shares), positioning the stock +1.03% above its 50-day simple moving average ($112.73) and -1.01% below its 200-day simple moving average ($115.05). Across its 52-week range of $96.27 to $141.44, USLM sits at the 39.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.9% ($107.17 to $120.61).

USLM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is USLM's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, United States Lime & Minerals Inc. (USLM)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is USLM stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±5.9% event move for USLM, spanning a range between $107.17 and $120.61.

Direct Sub-Reports: USLM RQD Cockpit USLM 12M Forecast USLM Earnings & Move USLM Dividends & DRIP USLM Insiders & 13F USLM Whale Options USLM Profit Sankey USLM News & Why