MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
Oil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war - ReutersOil slips more than 1% as talks continue on ending Iran war Reuters
Why USGO Stock surged +3.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$5.60 +3.61% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.63
U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT
Cap $78.5M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is USGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, U.S. GoldMining Inc. (NASDAQ: USGO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $5.60 (+3.61% 1D, market cap $78.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, USGO ranks #226 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does USGO compare to SRL and FURY in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), USGO carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SRL (Scully Royalty Ltd.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $67.8M) and FURY (Fury Gold Mines Limited) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $92.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPL leads on capital efficiency (-15.5% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USGO?
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Per USGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001947244), U.S. GoldMining Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$7.0M in net income, and -$5.8M in free cash flow against $8.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.63 (+0.46%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.6% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for USGO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY USGO SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (26% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$6.23-11.1% Next Q
47
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$5.54-17.9% Next Q
44
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$4.55+23.1% Next Q
42
CurrentGrade D-$5.60-7.6% Hist 90D α
39
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a USGO Turnaround Squeeze
While USGO currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($7.08) and Max Pain ($5.88) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $18.88.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $USGO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “USGO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why USGO Stock surged +3.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) surged +3.61% to $5.60, trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($4.35 – $17.98). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 9% of its 52-week range ($4.35 – $17.98) with RSI-14 at 37.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $5.60 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live USGO Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
Nine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say - ReutersNine people dead in Learjet crash in south Florida, officials say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Iran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz - ReutersIran's IRGC Navy says two tankers 'exploded' after hitting mines in Hormuz Reuters
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 7h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 8h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 9h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 10h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring USGO)
- ✓Walkthrough of USGO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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USGO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -57.93%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $5.52H $5.60L $5.07C $5.60VOL 103.0K
RES: $7.85SUP: $4.15SMA50: $7.08SMA200: $9.90
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
USGO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on USGO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for USGO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for USGO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (USGO)
Materials Rank #226 of 270
⚔️ SRL vs USGO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (USGO vs. SRL, FURY, XPL, NVA)
Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) ranks #226 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #235 by equity capitalization ($78.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, USGO leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while XPL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -15.5% ROIC and — gross margin. SRL currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with USGO at 39/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USGO
ACTIVE
U.S. GoldMining Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +3.61% | $78.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| SRL Scully Royalty Ltd. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +0.79% | $67.8M | /srl-vs-usgo → |
| FURY Fury Gold Mines Limited | D+ | 56/100 | — | — | — | -0.91% | $92.8M | /fury-vs-usgo → |
| XPL Solitario Resources Corp. | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -15.5% | -1.95% | $47.6M | /xpl-vs-usgo → |
| NVA Nova Minerals Corp | D | 49/100 | — | — | — | +1.45% | $133.7M | /nva-vs-usgo → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001947244In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), U.S. GoldMining Inc. (USGO) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$7.0M, operating cash flow of -$5.8M, and free cash flow of -$5.8M (+26.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, USGO closed FY2025 with $8.4M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$7.0M | -$5.8M | -$5.8M | $8.4M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | -$8.5M | -$7.8M | -$7.9M | $5.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-11-30 | $0 | -$9.4M | -$9.4M | -$9.4M | — | — |
3. USGO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs USGO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, U.S. GoldMining Inc. (NASDAQ: USGO) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $5.60 (+3.61% 1D, market cap $78.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, USGO ranks #226 in composite RQD confidence.
How does USGO compare to SRL and FURY in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), USGO carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, SRL (Scully Royalty Ltd.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $67.8M) and FURY (Fury Gold Mines Limited) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $92.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, USGO leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while XPL leads on capital efficiency (-15.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for USGO?
Per USGO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001947244), U.S. GoldMining Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$7.0M in net income, and -$5.8M in free cash flow against $8.4M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is USGO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
USGO last traded at $5.60 (+3.61% on volume of 163,478 shares), positioning the stock -20.90% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.08) and -43.43% below its 200-day simple moving average ($9.90). Across its 52-week range of $4.35 to $17.98, USGO sits at the 9.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($4.90 to $6.30).
USGO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is USGO stock moving today?
Why USGO Stock surged +3.61% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.