MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Natural Food Stocks to Gain Momentum as Health Trends Drive DemandHealth-conscious consumers are fueling natural food demand. See how General Mills, Dole and United Natural Foods are tapping into this growing market.
Why UNFI Stock dropped -3.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$46.11 -3.25% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.75
United Natural Foods Inc. (UNFI) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.78B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $45.75 (-0.77%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 0.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UNFI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UNFI SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 5.00 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0.8% FCF Margin ($239.0M FCF) & 13.3% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$44.51+7.4% Next Q
45
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$47.79-1.9% Next Q
48
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$46.88-1.6% Next Q
50
CurrentGrade D+$46.11-0.9% Hist 90D α
53
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a UNFI Turnaround Squeeze
While UNFI currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($45.84) and Max Pain ($48.42) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $59.87.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UNFI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UNFI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 30, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why UNFI Stock dropped -3.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
United Natural Foods Inc. (UNFI) dropped -3.25% to $46.11, trading at 58% of its 52-week range ($30.91 – $57.02). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 58% of its 52-week range ($30.91 – $57.02) with RSI-14 at 47.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.9% around $46.11 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 13.3% gross margin and $239.0M annual free cash flow.
Live UNFI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
United Natural Foods (UNFI): buy, sell, or hold post Q2 earnings?United Natural Foods has been treading water for the past six months, recording a small loss of 2.6% while holding steady at $46.87. The stock also fell short of the S&P 500’s 6.8% gain during that period.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 6d ago
What Changed For Maplebear Stock, And What Did Not?For questions about this article or underlying research, email help@trefis.com.
CATALYSTYahoo • 6d ago
1 safe-and-steady stock to own for decades and 2 we questionLow-volatility stocks may offer stability, but that often comes at the cost of slower growth and the upside potential of more dynamic companies.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 9d ago
3 consumer stocks we think twice aboutConsumer staples are considered safe havens in turbulent markets due to their inelastic demand profiles. But they’re also double-edged swords as they often lag in booming conditions, and this pattern has persisted recent
RISK WATCHYahoo • 11d ago
Tariff Court Fight Puts Del Monte Stock And Food Importers In FocusTariffs on Canadian food imports have suddenly become more than background policy noise. Court challenges to the new 50% charges on cheeses and related products now sit at the center of whether importers face a lasting c
MARKET WIREYahoo • 12d ago
Microsoft planning to expand data center operations to SturtevantAfter UNFI laid off workers and relocated, Microsoft began considering how to use that facility as a potential data center.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring UNFI)
- ✓Walkthrough of UNFI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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UNFI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.82%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE
2026-10-30O $46.41H $46.62L $44.84C $46.11VOL 651.2K
RES: $48.70SUP: $43.67SMA50: $45.84SMA200: $45.68
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
UNFI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +2.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UNFI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UNFI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UNFI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UNFI)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #580 of 1011
⚔️ CHEF vs UNFI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (UNFI vs. CHEF, DPZ, PFGC, USFD)
Industry: Food Distributors (10 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, United Natural Foods Inc. (UNFI) ranks #580 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #373 by equity capitalization ($2.78B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DPZ leads on earnings valuation at 17.1x trailing P/E, while DPZ leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 40.0% gross margin. USFD currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 71/100 (B-) compared with UNFI at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UNFI
ACTIVE
United Natural Foods Inc. | D+ | 53/100 | — | 13.3% | -1.6% | -3.25% | $2.78B | Benchmark Subject |
| CHEF The Chefs' Warehouse Inc. | D | 46/100 | 61.0x | 24.2% | 9.5% | -5.43% | $4.41B | /chef-vs-unfi → |
| DPZ Domino's Pizza Inc | C+ | 69/100 | 17.1x | 40.0% | 85.0% | +0.82% | $10.26B | /dpz-vs-unfi → |
| PFGC Performance Food Group Company | C+ | 66/100 | 42.8x | 11.9% | 9.1% | +1.34% | $15.39B | /pfgc-vs-unfi → |
| USFD US Foods Holding Corp. | B- | 71/100 | 32.9x | 17.4% | 11.4% | +0.87% | $22.24B | /usfd-vs-unfi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-08-02 • CIK 0001020859In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-08-02), United Natural Foods Inc. (UNFI) reported GAAP revenue of $31.78B (+2.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $30.98B , and +5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$118.0M, operating cash flow of $470.0M, and free cash flow of $239.0M (+359.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, UNFI closed FY2025 with $7.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.00, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-08-02 | $31.78B | -$118.0M | $470.0M | $239.0M | $7.25B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-08-03 | $30.98B | -$112.0M | $253.0M | -$92.0M | $7.73B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-07-29 | $30.27B | $24.0M | $624.0M | $624.0M | — | — |
3. UNFI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs UNFI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, United Natural Foods Inc. (NYSE: UNFI) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $46.11 (-3.25% 1D, market cap $2.78B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, UNFI ranks #580 in composite RQD confidence.
How does UNFI compare to CHEF and DPZ in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Food Distributors), UNFI carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 13.3%, and ROIC of -1.6%. By comparison, CHEF (The Chefs' Warehouse Inc.) holds a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E 61.0x, ROIC 9.5%, cap $4.41B) and DPZ (Domino's Pizza Inc) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E 17.1x, ROIC 85.0%, cap $10.26B). Among the 5-stock peer group, DPZ leads on earnings multiple (17.1x) while DPZ leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UNFI?
Per UNFI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-08-02, CIK 0001020859), United Natural Foods Inc. generated $31.78B in revenue (+2.6% YoY), -$118.0M in net income, and $239.0M in free cash flow against $7.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is UNFI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
UNFI last traded at $46.11 (-3.25% on volume of 506,692 shares), positioning the stock +0.59% above its 50-day simple moving average ($45.84) and +0.94% above its 200-day simple moving average ($45.68). Across its 52-week range of $30.91 to $57.02, UNFI sits at the 58.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($42.93 to $49.29).
UNFI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is UNFI stock moving today?
Why UNFI Stock dropped -3.25% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.