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Why UG Stock slipped -1.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$6.66 -1.19% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.66
United-Guardian Inc. (UG) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $30.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.66 (+0.03%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C+ · Rk B
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for UG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY UG SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+17/20 pts (24% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 85% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 38% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 57.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-11 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade A-$7.00-2.3% Next Q
78
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B+$6.84-2.5% Next Q
75
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$6.67-0.1% Next Q
73
CurrentGrade B-$6.66+6.6% Hist 90D α
70
Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the UG Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, UG faces multiple-compression risk if 14.5x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.04) or 200D SMA ($6.96) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.02) toward Bear Floor ($5.46).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $UG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “UG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why UG Stock slipped -1.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
United-Guardian Inc. (UG) slipped -1.19% to $6.66, trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($5.58 – $8.45). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 38% of its 52-week range ($5.58 – $8.45) with RSI-14 at 57.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.7% around $6.66 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $1.9M annual free cash flow.
Live UG Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (UG Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
UG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -6.59%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $6.84H $7.07L $6.66C $6.66VOL 15.7K
RES: $7.53SUP: $6.59SMA50: $7.04SMA200: $6.96
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
UG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
6.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on UG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for UG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for UG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (UG)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #189 of 1011
⚔️ AXIL vs UG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (UG vs. AXIL, WNW, SLSN, CABR)
Industry: Package Goods/Cosmetics (23 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, United-Guardian Inc. (UG) ranks #189 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #859 by equity capitalization ($30.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AXIL leads on earnings valuation at 13.6x trailing P/E, while AXIL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 38.5% ROIC and 69.3% gross margin. UG currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 70/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UG
ACTIVE
United-Guardian Inc. | B- | 70/100 | 14.5x | — | 17.8% | -1.19% | $30.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| AXIL AXIL Brands Inc. | D+ | 57/100 | 13.6x | 69.3% | 38.5% | -1.65% | $36.6M | /axil-vs-ug → |
| WNW Meiwu Technology Company Limited | D+ | 54/100 | — | 10.1% | -22.0% | +0.98% | $54.5M | /wnw-vs-ug → |
| SLSN Solesence Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | 32.9x | 25.9% | 9.7% | +2.24% | $58.9M | /slsn-vs-ug → |
| CABR Caring Brands Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | 55.6% | -35.0% | -4.46% | $11.2M | /cabr-vs-ug → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000101295In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), United-Guardian Inc. (UG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $2.1M, operating cash flow of $2.0M, and free cash flow of $1.9M (-37.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, UG closed FY2025 with $13.1M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | $2.1M | $2.0M | $1.9M | $13.1M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $3.3M | $3.5M | $3.0M | $13.8M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | $2.6M | $3.1M | $3.1M | — | — |
3. UG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs UG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, United-Guardian Inc. (NASDAQ: UG) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $6.66 (-1.19% 1D, market cap $30.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, UG ranks #189 in composite RQD confidence.
How does UG compare to AXIL and WNW in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Package Goods/Cosmetics), UG carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 14.5x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 17.8%. By comparison, AXIL (AXIL Brands Inc.) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 13.6x, ROIC 38.5%, cap $36.6M) and WNW (Meiwu Technology Company Limited) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -22.0%, cap $54.5M). Among the 5-stock peer group, AXIL leads on earnings multiple (13.6x) while AXIL leads on capital efficiency (38.5% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for UG?
Per UG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000101295), United-Guardian Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $2.1M in net income, and $1.9M in free cash flow against $13.1M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is UG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
UG last traded at $6.66 (-1.19% on volume of 11,805 shares), positioning the stock -5.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.04) and -4.31% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.96). Across its 52-week range of $5.58 to $8.45, UG sits at the 37.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 57.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($6.15 to $7.17).
UG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is UG stock moving today?
Why UG Stock slipped -1.19% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 18% return on capital) with steady institutional support.