Stock Ratings / Communication Services / TZOO / forecast

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Travelzoo (TZOO) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$5.01 +2.04% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.04

Travelzoo (TZOO) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (80% profit margin, 85% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $51.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.04 (+0.61%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 17/20 (A-) • 6.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TZOO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TZOO SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+17/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.1% FCF Margin ($5.6M FCF) & 80.3% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$5.22-3.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$5.03+0.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$5.07-1.2% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$5.01+6.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (79) → B- (71)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TZOO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, TZOO faces multiple-compression risk if 10.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 77.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($5.66) or 200D SMA ($7.45) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($5.30) toward Bear Floor ($4.11).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TZOO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TZOO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 71%NO 29%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TZOO Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $5.01: 1996.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $4.11

$8,204

$-1,796 (-18.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $5.30

$10,579

+$579 (+5.8%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $13.01

$25,968

+$15,968 (+159.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (34 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 23● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	OUTPERFORM	$6	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$12	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$5	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TZOO Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TZOO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -48.83%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $5.00H $5.31L $4.97C $5.01VOL 95.0K

RES: $5.22SUP: $4.39SMA50: $5.66SMA200: $7.45

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TZOO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TZOO Butterfly Map → + Track TZOO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

0.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TZOO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TZOO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TZOO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TZOO)

Communication Services Rank #11 of 132 ⚔️ THRY vs TZOO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Communication Services Peer Comparison (TZOO vs. THRY, IZEA, STFS, EDHL)

Industry: Advertising (23 Tracked Issuers)

Across 132 tracked Communication Services securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Travelzoo (TZOO) ranks #11 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #104 by equity capitalization ($51.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TZOO leads on earnings valuation at 10.9x trailing P/E, while TZOO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 80.3% gross margin. TZOO currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TZOO ACTIVE Travelzoo	B-	71/100	10.9x	80.3%	85.0%	+2.04%	$51.1M	Benchmark Subject
THRY Thryv Holdings Inc.	D+	53/100	—	67.9%	10.1%	-2.34%	$55.5M	/thry-vs-tzoo →
IZEA IZEA Worldwide Inc.	D+	56/100	—	48.1%	-35.0%	0.00%	$41.0M	/izea-vs-tzoo →
STFS Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited (Class A)	D-	41/100	—	5.7%	-35.0%	0.00%	$71.1M	/stfs-vs-tzoo →
EDHL Everbright Digital Holding Limited	E	33/100	—	65.4%	-35.0%	-0.17%	$34.5M	/edhl-vs-tzoo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001133311

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Travelzoo (TZOO) reported GAAP revenue of $91.7M (+9.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.9M , and +8.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $4.7M, operating cash flow of $5.7M, and free cash flow of $5.6M (-73.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TZOO closed FY2025 with $45.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.12, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$91.7M	$4.7M	$5.7M	$5.6M	$45.2M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$83.9M	$13.6M	$21.1M	$20.9M	$54.7M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$84.5M	$12.4M	$10.7M	$10.7M	—	—

3. TZOO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TZOO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Travelzoo (NASDAQ: TZOO) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $5.01 (+2.04% 1D, market cap $51.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 17/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 132 tracked Communication Services issuers, TZOO ranks #11 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TZOO compare to THRY and IZEA in the Communication Services sector?

Within the Communication Services sector (Advertising), TZOO carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 10.9x, gross margin of 80.3%, and ROIC of 85.0%. By comparison, THRY (Thryv Holdings Inc.) holds a D+ grade (53/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 10.1%, cap $55.5M) and IZEA (IZEA Worldwide Inc.) posts a D+ grade (56/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $41.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TZOO leads on earnings multiple (10.9x) while TZOO leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TZOO?

Per TZOO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001133311), Travelzoo generated $91.7M in revenue (+9.3% YoY), $4.7M in net income, and $5.6M in free cash flow against $45.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (80% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TZOO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TZOO last traded at $5.01 (+2.04% on volume of 37,044 shares), positioning the stock -11.48% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.66) and -32.75% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.45). Across its 52-week range of $4.72 to $12.39, TZOO sits at the 3.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($4.48 to $5.54).

TZOO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TZOO's 12-month stock price target?

Travelzoo (TZOO) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $5.3 (+5.8% from $5.01), with a bull-case target of $13.01 and a bear-case floor of $4.11.

Is TZOO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TZOO B- (Buy — BUY) with an RQD Confidence score of 71/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: TZOO RQD Cockpit TZOO 12M Forecast TZOO Earnings & Move TZOO Dividends & DRIP TZOO Insiders & 13F TZOO Whale Options TZOO Profit Sankey TZOO News & Why