Tyra Biosciences Inc. (TYRA) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.2% Move

$21.48 -1.24% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.39

Tyra Biosciences Inc. (TYRA) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.48B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $21.39 (-0.41%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (41/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510041
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (7)Whales (9)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.6% Base Target
$43 Bull$20 Base$15 Bear
📬 FREE TYRA RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TYRA)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (41/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TYRA SCORES 41/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+12/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 30% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 49 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (24% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
33
Grade E$19.94-7.1% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
36
Grade E$18.52+10.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
38
Grade E$20.45+5% Next Q
Current
41
Grade D-$21.48-7.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (33) → D- (41)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TYRA Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TYRA currently carries a cautious 41/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($22.67) and Max Pain ($22.55) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $42.68.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TYRA• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TYRA Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.2% Swing Band

±$2.19 Expected Swing
$19.29 (-10.2%)Spot $21.48$23.67 (+10.2%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TYRA Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 41/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (41/100)Model Risk Weight (59/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0-$119.9M-$95.3M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0-$86.5M-$70.4M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0-$69.1M-$50.1M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TYRA)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TYRA's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TYRA // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -38.19%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $21.18H $21.55L $20.32C $21.48VOL 625.8K
RES: $24.01SUP: $15.02SMA50: $22.67SMA200: $29.87
$38.60$33.09$27.57$22.05$16.54RES $24.01SUP $15.02$21.482026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TYRA Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TYRA today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TYRA. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TYRA today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TYRA)

Health Care Rank #605 of 1016 ⚔️ GHRS vs TYRA Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (TYRA vs. GHRS, PCRX, ANAB, ETON)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tyra Biosciences Inc. (TYRA) ranks #605 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #306 by equity capitalization ($1.48B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TYRA leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while ANAB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. ETON currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 62/100 (C) compared with TYRA at 41/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TYRA ACTIVE
Tyra Biosciences Inc.
D- 41/100 — — -35.0% -1.24% $1.48B Benchmark Subject
GHRS
GH Research PLC
D+ 58/100 — — — +3.82% $1.47B /ghrs-vs-tyra →
PCRX
Pacira BioSciences Inc.
D+ 54/100 — 79.4% 1.7% 0.00% $1.45B /pcrx-vs-tyra →
ANAB
AnaptysBio Inc.
C- 61/100 — — 85.0% -3.68% $1.44B /anab-vs-tyra →
ETON
Eton Pharmaceuticals Inc.
C 62/100 — 53.5% -0.9% +3.61% $1.53B /eton-vs-tyra →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001863127

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tyra Biosciences Inc. (TYRA) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$119.9M, operating cash flow of -$95.1M, and free cash flow of -$95.3M (-35.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TYRA closed FY2025 with $282.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 -$119.9M -$95.1M -$95.3M $282.6M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 -$86.5M -$69.8M -$70.4M $363.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 -$69.1M -$50.1M -$50.1M — —

3. TYRA Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TYRA stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tyra Biosciences Inc. (NASDAQ: TYRA) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $21.48 (-1.24% 1D, market cap $1.48B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TYRA ranks #605 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TYRA compare to GHRS and PCRX in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), TYRA carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GHRS (GH Research PLC) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.47B) and PCRX (Pacira BioSciences Inc.) posts a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.7%, cap $1.45B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TYRA leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while ANAB leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TYRA?

Per TYRA's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001863127), Tyra Biosciences Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$119.9M in net income, and -$95.3M in free cash flow against $282.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TYRA trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TYRA last traded at $21.48 (-1.24% on volume of 734,915 shares), positioning the stock -5.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($22.67) and -28.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($29.87). Across its 52-week range of $13.35 to $40.65, TYRA sits at the 29.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 49.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.2% ($19.29 to $23.67).

TYRA Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TYRA's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Tyra Biosciences Inc. (TYRA)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TYRA stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.2% event move for TYRA, spanning a range between $19.29 and $23.67.

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