Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (TSLX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.9% Move

$17.62 +1.73% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.72

Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (TSLX) earns a Roarable Rating of B (Buy) with 72/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 11% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B • BUY Cap $1.68B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.72 (+0.55%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 10% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 72/100 (B) historically ranked in the Top 13% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.7% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B
025507510072
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (13)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (16)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+6.3% Base Target
$24 Bull$19 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE TSLX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TSLX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (72/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TSLX SCORES 72/100 (B) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 23% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
64
Grade C+$17.35-1.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
67
Grade B-$17.03+0.4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
69
Grade B-$17.09+3.1% Next Q
Current
72
Grade B$17.62+7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C+ (64) → B (72)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TSLX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 72/100 (B) score, TSLX faces multiple-compression risk if 9.9x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.87) or 200D SMA ($18.23) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($18.73) toward Bear Floor ($14.45).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TSLX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TSLX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.9% Swing Band

±$0.86 Expected Swing
$16.76 (-4.9%)Spot $17.62$18.48 (+4.9%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TSLX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 72/100

Trailing EPS: $1.79 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (72/100)Model Risk Weight (28/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$0$170.5M$401.6M52%
FY 20242024-12-31$0$186.6M-$45.5M52%
FY 20232023-12-31$0$222.0M-$236.8M52%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TSLX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TSLX
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
TSLX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.10%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $17.63H $17.64L $17.46C $17.62VOL 531.0K
RES: $18.69SUP: $16.68SMA50: $17.87SMA200: $18.23
$21.84$20.27$18.70$17.12$15.55RES $18.69SUP $16.68$17.622026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TSLX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-1.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TSLX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TSLX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TSLX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TSLX)

Financials Rank #95 of 1096 ⚔️ GAM vs TSLX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TSLX vs. GAM, GAB, PAX, OXLC)

Industry: Investment Managers (79 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (TSLX) ranks #95 by composite RQD confidence (72/100, grade B) and #462 by equity capitalization ($1.68B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TSLX leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while TSLX leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.6% ROIC and — gross margin. TSLX currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 72/100 (B).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TSLX ACTIVE
Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc.
B 72/100 9.9x — 10.6% +1.73% $1.68B Benchmark Subject
GAM
General American Investors Inc.
D 51/100 — — — +0.40% $1.55B /gam-vs-tslx →
GAB
Gabelli Equity Trust Inc.
C- 60/100 — — — +0.96% $1.54B /gab-vs-tslx →
PAX
Patria Investments Limited (Class A)
D+ 57/100 — — — -0.53% $1.51B /pax-vs-tslx →
OXLC
Oxford Lane Capital Corp.
C- 61/100 — — — +0.30% $1.15B /oxlc-vs-tslx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001508655

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (TSLX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $170.5M, operating cash flow of $401.6M, and free cash flow of $401.6M (+982.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, TSLX closed FY2025 with $3.42B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $170.5M $401.6M $401.6M $3.42B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $186.6M -$45.5M -$45.5M $3.58B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $222.0M -$236.8M -$236.8M — —

3. TSLX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TSLX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (NYSE: TSLX) is rated B (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 72/100 at a spot price of $17.62 (+1.73% 1D, market cap $1.68B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TSLX ranks #95 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TSLX compare to GAM and GAB in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Investment Managers), TSLX carries a Roarable B (72/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.9x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 10.6%. By comparison, GAM (General American Investors Inc.) holds a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.55B) and GAB (Gabelli Equity Trust Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TSLX leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while TSLX leads on capital efficiency (10.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TSLX?

Per TSLX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001508655), Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $170.5M in net income, and $401.6M in free cash flow against $3.42B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TSLX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TSLX last traded at $17.62 (+1.73% on volume of 804,832 shares), positioning the stock -1.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($17.87) and -3.35% below its 200-day simple moving average ($18.23). Across its 52-week range of $16.04 to $22.84, TSLX sits at the 23.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.9% ($16.76 to $18.48).

TSLX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TSLX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Sixth Street Specialty Lending Inc. (TSLX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TSLX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.9% event move for TSLX, spanning a range between $16.76 and $18.48.

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