CATALYSTBenzinga • 5d ago
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Why TRUG Stock dropped -3.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$0.77 -3.96% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.76
TruGolf Holdings Inc. (Class A) (TRUG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 33/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $1.2M
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Is TRUG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, TruGolf Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: TRUG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $0.77 (-3.96% 1D, market cap $1.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TRUG ranks #938 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TRUG compare to GMEX and NWTG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), TRUG carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 50.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GMEX (GMEX ROBOTICS CORPORATION (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $660.9K) and NWTG (Newton Golf Company Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $6.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRUG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TRUG leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRUG?
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Per TRUG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001857086), TruGolf Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $18.9M in revenue (-11.3% YoY), -$15.2M in net income, and -$1.9M in free cash flow against $20.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.76 (-0.90%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 5/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (33/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-11.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRUG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (33/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRUG SCORES 33/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+12/20 pts (36% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+8/20 pts (24% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 25.6 (OVERSOLD (<32))
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$1.89-40.7% Next Q
41
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$1.12-21.4% Next Q
38
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$0.88-12.5% Next Q
36
CurrentGrade E$0.77-8.9% Hist 90D α
33
Trajectory: D (41) → E (33)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRUG Turnaround Squeeze
While TRUG currently carries a cautious 33/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.32) and Max Pain ($0.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $234.15.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+1.28% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRUG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRUG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why TRUG Stock dropped -3.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
TruGolf Holdings Inc. (Class A) (TRUG) dropped -3.96% to $0.77, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.67 – $223). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($0.67 – $223) with RSI-14 at 25.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $0.77 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 50.4% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live TRUG Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREYahoo • 9d ago
TruGolf Holdings (TRUG) Expands E6 Golf Library to More Than 15,000 Courses, Reports Increased Platform UsageLOS ANGELES, CA - October 23, 2026 (NEWMEDIAWIRE) - TruGolf (NASDAQ: TRUG) announced that its E6 golf simulation platform now offers more than 15,000 real-world courses on demand, a 50% increase in less than a year. Powe
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
TruGolf's E6 Course Library Surpasses 15,000 Courses as On-Demand Platform Scales Across 19 Launch MonitorsTruGolf Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: TRUG) today announced that E6 by TruGolf now offers more than 15,000 real-world golf courses on demand, up 50% in under a year. Because courses are delivered on demand, the library can kee
MARKET WIREYahoo • 10d ago
TruGolf’s E6 Course Library Surpasses 15,000 Courses as On-Demand Platform Scales Across 19 Launch MonitorsTruGolf Holdings, Inc. E6 by TruGolf generates each course at runtime in its true surroundings using Cesium for Unreal. Courses generate at runtime in their true surroundings, so the library keeps growing while installs
MARKET WIREYahoo • 13d ago
TruGolf Buy Polymath, the Company Behind PolymeshWhy is a golf simulator business merging with Polymath, the company behind the PolyX token, in a deal valued at $140 million?
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRUG)
- ✓Walkthrough of TRUG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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TRUG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -96.56%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $0.75H $0.77L $0.67C $0.77VOL 96.6K
RES: $13.27SUP: $-1.76SMA50: $3.32SMA200: $27.81
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
TRUG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -11.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRUG today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRUG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRUG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRUG)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #938 of 1011
⚔️ GMEX vs TRUG Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TRUG vs. GMEX, NWTG, YMAT, KMRK)
Industry: Recreational Games/Products/Toys (20 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TruGolf Holdings Inc. (Class A) (TRUG) ranks #938 by composite RQD confidence (33/100, grade E) and #1005 by equity capitalization ($1.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRUG leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TRUG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and 50.4% gross margin. YMAT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 54/100 (D+) compared with TRUG at 33/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TRUG
ACTIVE
TruGolf Holdings Inc. (Class A) | E | 33/100 | — | 50.4% | -35.0% | -3.96% | $1.2M | Benchmark Subject |
| GMEX GMEX ROBOTICS CORPORATION (Class A) | D | 49/100 | — | 39.3% | — | +4.16% | $660.9K | /gmex-vs-trug → |
| NWTG Newton Golf Company Inc. | D- | 35/100 | — | 56.0% | -35.0% | -2.73% | $6.1M | /nwtg-vs-trug → |
| YMAT J-Star Holding Co. Ltd. (Class A) | D+ | 54/100 | — | — | — | +3.18% | $9.1M | /ymat-vs-trug → |
| KMRK K-Tech Solutions Company Limited (Class A) | D | 51/100 | — | 13.7% | — | -9.37% | $30.6M | /kmrk-vs-trug → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001857086In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), TruGolf Holdings Inc. (Class A) (TRUG) reported GAAP revenue of $18.9M (-11.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $21.3M , and -8.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$15.2M, operating cash flow of -$1.7M, and free cash flow of -$1.9M (+52.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRUG closed FY2025 with $20.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.20, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $18.9M | -$15.2M | -$1.7M | -$1.9M | $20.2M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $21.3M | -$8.8M | -$4.0M | -$4.0M | $17.1M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $20.6M | -$10.3M | -$6.1M | -$6.1M | — | — |
3. TRUG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TRUG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, TruGolf Holdings Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: TRUG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 33/100 at a spot price of $0.77 (-3.96% 1D, market cap $1.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 5/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 5/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TRUG ranks #938 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TRUG compare to GMEX and NWTG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Recreational Games/Products/Toys), TRUG carries a Roarable E (33/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 50.4%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GMEX (GMEX ROBOTICS CORPORATION (Class A)) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $660.9K) and NWTG (Newton Golf Company Inc.) posts a D- grade (35/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $6.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRUG leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TRUG leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRUG?
Per TRUG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001857086), TruGolf Holdings Inc. (Class A) generated $18.9M in revenue (-11.3% YoY), -$15.2M in net income, and -$1.9M in free cash flow against $20.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TRUG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TRUG last traded at $0.77 (-3.96% on volume of 177,132 shares), positioning the stock -76.81% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.32) and -97.23% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.81). Across its 52-week range of $0.67 to $223.00, TRUG sits at the 0.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.6 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.87).
TRUG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TRUG stock moving today?
Why TRUG Stock dropped -3.96% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.