Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (TRSG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$1.18 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.18

Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (TRSG) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 26/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $19.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (NASDAQ: TRSG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.18 (0.00% 1D, market cap $19.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TRSG ranks #447 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRSG compare to BEEM and GTEC in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TRSG carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 45.9%, and ROIC of -1.7%. By comparison, BEEM (Beam Global) holds a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $20.1M) and GTEC (Greenland Technologies Holding Corporation (Class A)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 3.7x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $18.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTEC leads on earnings multiple (3.7x) while GTEC leads on capital efficiency (9.1% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRSG?
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Per TRSG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001943444), Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) generated $15.6M in revenue (+22.0% YoY), -$170.3K in net income, and -$3.8M in free cash flow against $29.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $1.18 (-0.19%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (26/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510026
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (4)Whales (4)SEC (10)Macro (5)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14.4% Base Target
$2 Bull$1 Base$1 Bear
📬 FREE TRSG RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRSG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (26/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRSG SCORES 26/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (38% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.59 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+5/20 pts (19% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 24% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
18
Grade E$1.14+3.5% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
21
Grade E$1.18+2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
23
Grade E$1.21-2.5% Next Q
Current
26
Grade E$1.18-10.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (18) → E (26)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRSG Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While TRSG currently carries a cautious 26/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($1.32) and Max Pain ($1.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $1.84.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRSG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRSG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TRSG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $1.18: 8474.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $0.79
$6,695
$-3,305 (-33.1%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $1.01
$8,559
$-1,441 (-14.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $1.84
$15,593
+$5,593 (+55.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (35 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 9
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$174%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$269%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRSG)

  • ✓Walkthrough of TRSG's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TRSG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -8.53%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $1.17H $1.18L $1.17C $1.18VOL 1.5K
RES: $1.46SUP: $0.87SMA50: $1.32SMA200: $1.33
$1.80$1.59$1.37$1.15$0.93RES $1.46SUP $0.87$1.182026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRSG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +22.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRSG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRSG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRSG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRSG)

Industrials Rank #447 of 485 ⚔️ BEEM vs TRSG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TRSG vs. BEEM, GTEC, ZEO, CLIR)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (TRSG) ranks #447 by composite RQD confidence (26/100, grade E) and #434 by equity capitalization ($19.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GTEC leads on earnings valuation at 3.7x trailing P/E, while GTEC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.1% ROIC and 31.4% gross margin. GTEC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 60/100 (C-) compared with TRSG at 26/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRSG ACTIVE
Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A)
E 26/100 — 45.9% -1.7% 0.00% $19.2M Benchmark Subject
BEEM
Beam Global
E 17/100 — 12.5% -35.0% -2.83% $20.1M /beem-vs-trsg →
GTEC
Greenland Technologies Holding Corporation (Class A)
C- 60/100 3.7x 31.4% 9.1% -4.41% $18.1M /gtec-vs-trsg →
ZEO
Zeo Energy Corporation (Class A)
D- 37/100 — 55.2% -35.0% -8.43% $18.0M /zeo-vs-trsg →
CLIR
ClearSign Technologies Corporation
E 24/100 — 27.2% -35.0% -6.10% $16.7M /clir-vs-trsg →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001943444

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (TRSG) reported GAAP revenue of $15.6M (+22.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $12.8M , and +8.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$170.3K, operating cash flow of -$3.0M, and free cash flow of -$3.8M (-204.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRSG closed FY2025 with $29.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.59, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $15.6M -$170.3K -$3.0M -$3.8M $29.5M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $12.8M -$571.7K -$811.9K -$1.3M $29.9M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $14.4M $756.8K $451.0K $451.0K — —

3. TRSG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (NASDAQ: TRSG) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 26/100 at a spot price of $1.18 (0.00% 1D, market cap $19.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 4/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 5/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TRSG ranks #447 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRSG compare to BEEM and GTEC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), TRSG carries a Roarable E (26/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 45.9%, and ROIC of -1.7%. By comparison, BEEM (Beam Global) holds a E grade (17/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $20.1M) and GTEC (Greenland Technologies Holding Corporation (Class A)) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 3.7x, ROIC 9.1%, cap $18.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GTEC leads on earnings multiple (3.7x) while GTEC leads on capital efficiency (9.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRSG?

Per TRSG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001943444), Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) generated $15.6M in revenue (+22.0% YoY), -$170.3K in net income, and -$3.8M in free cash flow against $29.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRSG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRSG last traded at $1.18 (0.00% on volume of 325 shares), positioning the stock -10.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($1.32) and -11.28% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.33). Across its 52-week range of $1.00 to $1.75, TRSG sits at the 24.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.03 to $1.33).

TRSG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TRSG's 12-month stock price target?

Tungray Technologies Inc (Class A) (TRSG) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $1.01 (-14.4% from $1.18), with a bull-case target of $1.84 and a bear-case floor of $0.79.

Is TRSG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TRSG E (Strong Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 26/100.

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