Why TREE Stock surged +5.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$28.03 +5.69% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.26

LendingTree Inc. (TREE) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $393.5M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $28.26 (+0.83%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 6.5% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B
Cash (7)Whales (14)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.2% Base Target
$72 Bull$29 Base$22 Bear
📬 FREE TREE RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TREE)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TREE SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 10% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 60.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 5.8% operating margin leave 13 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
55
Grade C$25.19+0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
58
Grade C$25.39+5.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
60
Grade C$26.81+4.6% Next Q
Current
63
Grade C$28.03+0.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (55) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TREE Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, TREE faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($26.50) or 200D SMA ($38.09) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($28.66) toward Bear Floor ($22.35).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TREE• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TREE Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TREE Stock surged +5.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

LendingTree Inc. (TREE) surged +5.69% to $28.03, trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($23.5 – $68.93). Solid steady margins (9% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 10% of its 52-week range ($23.5 – $68.93) with RSI-14 at 60.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±8.8% around $28.03 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $73.1M annual free cash flow.
Live TREE Headlines & Catalysts
RISK WATCHYahoo • 11d ago
3 Reasons TREE is Risky and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

Shareholders of LendingTree would probably like to forget the past six months even happened. The stock dropped 44.6% and now trades at $26.66. This was partly driven by its softer quarterly results and might have investo

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TREE Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TREE // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -43.48%▲ RESISTANCE BREAKOUT
2026-10-30O $27.98H $28.20L $27.51C $28.03VOL 289.7K
RES: $24.45SUP: $19.83SMA50: $26.50SMA200: $38.09
$56.00$47.19$38.38$29.57$20.77RES $24.45SUP $19.83$28.032026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TREE Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
5.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +24.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TREE today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TREE. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TREE today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TREE)

Financials Rank #399 of 1096 ⚔️ BRBI vs TREE Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (TREE vs. BRBI, GEMI, BETR, CCAP)

Industry: Finance: Consumer Services (156 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, LendingTree Inc. (TREE) ranks #399 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #753 by equity capitalization ($393.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CCAP leads on earnings valuation at 9.9x trailing P/E, while TREE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.6% ROIC and — gross margin. CCAP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with TREE at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TREE ACTIVE
LendingTree Inc.
C 63/100 — — 8.6% +5.69% $393.5M Benchmark Subject
BRBI
BRBI BR Partners S.A. ADSs
D 49/100 — — — -3.27% $400.1M /brbi-vs-tree →
GEMI
Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A)
D- 39/100 — — -35.0% -1.60% $403.6M /gemi-vs-tree →
BETR
Better Home & Finance Holding Company (Class A)
D 44/100 — — -35.0% +6.55% $436.0M /betr-vs-tree →
CCAP
Crescent Capital BDC Inc.
C 65/100 9.9x — -11.1% +3.22% $342.7M /ccap-vs-tree →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001434621

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), LendingTree Inc. (TREE) reported GAAP revenue of $1.12B (+24.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $900.2M , and +66.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $151.0M, operating cash flow of $73.1M, and free cash flow of $73.1M (+17.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TREE closed FY2025 with $855.7M in total assets against $387.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.12B $151.0M $73.1M $73.1M $855.7M $387.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $900.2M -$42.0M $62.3M $62.3M $767.7M $344.1M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $672.5M -$122.0M $67.6M $67.6M — —

3. TREE Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TREE stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, LendingTree Inc. (NASDAQ: TREE) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $28.03 (+5.69% 1D, market cap $393.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, TREE ranks #399 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TREE compare to BRBI and GEMI in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Finance: Consumer Services), TREE carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 8.6%. By comparison, BRBI (BRBI BR Partners S.A. ADSs) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $400.1M) and GEMI (Gemini Space Station Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $403.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CCAP leads on earnings multiple (9.9x) while TREE leads on capital efficiency (8.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TREE?

Per TREE's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001434621), LendingTree Inc. generated $1.12B in revenue (+24.1% YoY), $151.0M in net income, and $73.1M in free cash flow against $855.7M in total assets and $387.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TREE trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TREE last traded at $28.03 (+5.69% on volume of 336,869 shares), positioning the stock +5.77% above its 50-day simple moving average ($26.50) and -26.41% below its 200-day simple moving average ($38.09). Across its 52-week range of $23.50 to $68.93, TREE sits at the 10.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 60.8 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.8% ($25.56 to $30.50).

TREE Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is TREE stock moving today?

Why TREE Stock surged +5.69% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (9% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

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