Traws Pharma Inc. (TRAW) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$0.30 -16.34% NASDAQ β€’ Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.29

Traws Pharma Inc. (TRAW) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 38/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- β€’ RED ALERT Cap $4.6M
πŸ“€ Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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πŸ€– Mara Quenwick β€’ AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRAW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
β–Ό

As of 2026-11-01, Traws Pharma Inc. (NASDAQ: TRAW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $0.30 (-16.34% 1D, market cap $4.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TRAW ranks #733 in composite RQD confidence.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Ellis Vennor β€’ AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRAW compare to AZTR and IMNN in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), TRAW carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AZTR (Azitra Inc) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.6M) and IMNN (Imunon Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRAW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TRAW leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
πŸ€– Gideon Ashmere β€’ AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRAW?
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Per TRAW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001130598), Traws Pharma Inc. generated $2.8M in revenue (+1134.5% YoY), $9.2M in net income, and -$18.2M in free cash flow against $10.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

βœ“ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
πŸ›‘οΈ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $0.29 (-3.13%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)βš™οΈ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) β€’ 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit β†’
πŸ“Š Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (38/100 Β· D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY β€’ 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record β†’
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT β€’ D-
025507510038
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) β€” not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E Β· Rk D
Cash (4)Whales (11)SEC (10)Macro (8)CEO (5)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10% Base Target
$3 Bull$0 Base$0 Bear
πŸ“¬ FREE TRAW RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRAW)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: Β±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (38/100 Composite)
πŸ” WHY TRAW SCORES 38/100 (D-) β€” TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
β–² #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (29% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (Β±12.5% realized swing band)

β–² #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) β€’ Piotroski F-Score 3/9

β–Ό #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

πŸ“ˆ PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 β†’ Q2 β†’ Q3 β†’ Current
Q1 (-3Q)
46
Grade D$0.45-17.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
43
Grade D$0.37-8.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
41
Grade D$0.34-11.8% Next Q
Current
38
Grade D-$0.30-7.8% Hist 90D Ξ±
Trajectory: D (46) β†’ D- (38)Full Audit β†’
βš”οΈ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

βš”οΈ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TRAW Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk β†’

While TRAW currently carries a cautious 38/100 (D-) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($0.49) and Max Pain ($0.32) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $3.39.

πŸš€ Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRAWβ€’ $2.4M Crowd Pool β€’ Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: β€œTRAW Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
Put/Call Ratio: β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
β€” (No Active Options Snapshot)
No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file
HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING
Β±12.5%
Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TRAW)

β€” (No Active Options Snapshot) β€” No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for TRAW.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TRAW)

  • βœ“Walkthrough of TRAW's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • βœ“3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • βœ“Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
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TRAW // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -79.02%πŸ“ HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $0.31H $0.31L $0.29C $0.30VOL 198.7K
RES: $0.78SUP: $0.01SMA50: $0.49SMA200: $1.17
$3.44$2.58$1.73$0.88$0.03RES $0.78SUP $0.01$0.302026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRAW Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRAW today. View full Setup Ledger β†’

πŸ¦‹ Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph β†’

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRAW. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRAW today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk β†’
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT β€’ SEC EDGAR XBRL Γ— RQD PEER BENCHMARK

πŸ“Š Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRAW)

1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (TRAW vs. AZTR, IMNN, NCNA, XTLB)

Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Traws Pharma Inc. (TRAW) ranks #733 by composite RQD confidence (38/100, grade D-) and #953 by equity capitalization ($4.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRAW leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TRAW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -35.0% ROIC and β€” gross margin. NCNA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 56/100 (D+) compared with TRAW at 38/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRAW ACTIVE
Traws Pharma Inc.
D- 38/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -16.34% $4.6M Benchmark Subject
AZTR
Azitra Inc
D- 41/100 β€” β€” -35.0% -16.31% $4.6M /aztr-vs-traw β†’
IMNN
Imunon Inc.
D- 42/100 β€” β€” -35.0% +0.35% $4.7M /imnn-vs-traw β†’
NCNA
NuCana plc
D+ 56/100 β€” β€” β€” -3.26% $4.3M /ncna-vs-traw β†’
XTLB
XTL Biopharmaceuticals Ltd.
D 47/100 β€” β€” β€” -12.44% $4.3M /xtlb-vs-traw β†’

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K β€’ FILED 2025-12-31 β€’ CIK 0001130598

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Traws Pharma Inc. (TRAW) reported GAAP revenue of $2.8M (+1134.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $226.0K , and +1134.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $9.2M, operating cash flow of -$18.2M, and free cash flow of -$18.2M (+39.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRAW closed FY2025 with $10.6M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.8M $9.2M -$18.2M -$18.2M $10.6M β€”
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $226.0K -$166.5M -$29.8M -$29.8M $25.0M β€”
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $226.0K -$18.9M -$17.9M -$17.9M β€” β€”

3. TRAW Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

βœ“ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRAW stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Traws Pharma Inc. (NASDAQ: TRAW) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 38/100 at a spot price of $0.30 (-16.34% 1D, market cap $4.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, TRAW ranks #733 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRAW compare to AZTR and IMNN in the Health Care sector?

Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), TRAW carries a Roarable D- (38/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of β€”, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, AZTR (Azitra Inc) holds a D- grade (41/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.6M) and IMNN (Imunon Inc.) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $4.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRAW leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TRAW leads on capital efficiency (-35.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRAW?

Per TRAW's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001130598), Traws Pharma Inc. generated $2.8M in revenue (+1134.5% YoY), $9.2M in net income, and -$18.2M in free cash flow against $10.6M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Health Care with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRAW trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRAW last traded at $0.30 (-16.34% on volume of 718,988 shares), positioning the stock -38.78% below its 50-day simple moving average ($0.49) and -74.36% below its 200-day simple moving average ($1.17). Across its 52-week range of $0.29 to $3.23, TRAW sits at the 0.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 25.8 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of Β±12.5% ($1.00 to $0.34).

TRAW Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS β€’ SEC EDGAR Γ— CBOE Γ— FRED

What is TRAW's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for TRAW.

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