Why TRAK Stock slipped -1.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$7.04 -1.26% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.01

ReposiTrak Inc. (TRAK) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $132.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is TRAK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, ReposiTrak Inc. (NYSE: TRAK) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $7.04 (-1.26% 1D, market cap $132.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TRAK ranks #130 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does TRAK compare to QMLS and TCX in the Technology sector?
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Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), TRAK carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, QMLS (QumulusAI Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $127.1M) and TCX (Tucows Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $116.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSTK leads on earnings multiple (3.5x) while SSTK leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRAK?
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Per TRAK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000050471), ReposiTrak Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $6.6M in net income, and $8.4M in free cash flow against $56.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $7.01 (-0.42%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
025507510068
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B
Cash (14)Whales (10)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
$16 Bull$7 Base$6 Bear
📬 FREE TRAK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TRAK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TRAK SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (24% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 29.9 (OVERSOLD (<32))

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (22% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
76
Grade B+$7.86-8.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
73
Grade B$7.20+1.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
71
Grade B$7.32-3.8% Next Q
Current
68
Grade C+$7.04+1.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TRAK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, TRAK faces multiple-compression risk if 20.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.08% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($7.84) or 200D SMA ($8.76) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($7.36) toward Bear Floor ($5.74).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TRAK• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TRAK Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why TRAK Stock slipped -1.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

ReposiTrak Inc. (TRAK) slipped -1.26% to $7.04, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($6.94 – $15.44). Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 20x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($6.94 – $15.44) with RSI-14 at 29.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.9% around $7.04 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $8.4M annual free cash flow.
Live TRAK Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TRAK Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TRAK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -28.02%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $7.14H $7.26L $7.03C $7.04VOL 111.1K
RES: $8.20SUP: $6.06SMA50: $7.84SMA200: $8.76
$13.32$11.59$9.87$8.14$6.41RES $8.20SUP $6.06$7.042026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TRAK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
13.5%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TRAK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TRAK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TRAK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TRAK)

Technology Rank #130 of 714 ⚔️ QMLS vs TRAK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (TRAK vs. QMLS, TCX, CTW, SSTK)

Industry: EDP Services (163 Tracked Issuers)

Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ReposiTrak Inc. (TRAK) ranks #130 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #506 by equity capitalization ($132.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SSTK leads on earnings valuation at 3.5x trailing P/E, while SSTK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 11.4% ROIC and 58.9% gross margin. TRAK currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TRAK ACTIVE
ReposiTrak Inc.
C+ 68/100 20.0x — 9.9% -1.26% $132.6M Benchmark Subject
QMLS
QumulusAI Inc.
D+ 52/100 — — — -8.03% $127.1M /qmls-vs-trak →
TCX
Tucows Inc. (Class A)
D- 42/100 — 24.1% -35.0% +5.37% $116.6M /tcx-vs-trak →
CTW
CTW (Class A)
D 50/100 28.9x 75.6% — +2.26% $110.7M /ctw-vs-trak →
SSTK
Shutterstock Inc.
D+ 56/100 3.5x 58.9% 11.4% -4.61% $160.4M /sstk-vs-trak →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-06-30 • CIK 0000050471

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30), ReposiTrak Inc. (TRAK) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $6.6M, operating cash flow of $8.4M, and free cash flow of $8.4M (+22.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TRAK closed FY2025 with $56.3M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-06-30 $0 $6.6M $8.4M $8.4M $56.3M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-06-30 $0 $5.4M $7.0M $6.9M $54.7M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-06-30 $0 $5.6M $8.9M $8.9M — —

3. TRAK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TRAK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, ReposiTrak Inc. (NYSE: TRAK) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $7.04 (-1.26% 1D, market cap $132.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, TRAK ranks #130 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TRAK compare to QMLS and TCX in the Technology sector?

Within the Technology sector (EDP Services), TRAK carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 20.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.9%. By comparison, QMLS (QumulusAI Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $127.1M) and TCX (Tucows Inc. (Class A)) posts a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $116.6M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SSTK leads on earnings multiple (3.5x) while SSTK leads on capital efficiency (11.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TRAK?

Per TRAK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-06-30, CIK 0000050471), ReposiTrak Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $6.6M in net income, and $8.4M in free cash flow against $56.3M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TRAK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TRAK last traded at $7.04 (-1.26% on volume of 111,149 shares), positioning the stock -10.20% below its 50-day simple moving average ($7.84) and -19.63% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.76). Across its 52-week range of $6.94 to $15.44, TRAK sits at the 1.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.9 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($6.55 to $7.53).

TRAK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is TRAK stock moving today?

Why TRAK Stock slipped -1.26% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (10% return on capital), mixed timing at 20x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

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