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Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$36.55 +2.32% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.63

Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.74B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $36.63 (+0.23%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 13.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY TR SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+15/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (22% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 26% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 48.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 13.8% operating margin leave 9 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$37.48+2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$38.23-9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$34.78+5.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$36.55+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (76) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, TR faces multiple-compression risk if 27.4x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 32.8% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($38.11) or 200D SMA ($39.51) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($38.19) toward Bear Floor ($29.79).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “TR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your TR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $36.55: 273.6 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $29.79

$8,150

$-1,850 (-18.5%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $38.19

$10,449

+$449 (+4.5%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $47.31

$12,944

+$2,944 (+29.4%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$40	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$44	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$34	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (TR Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

TR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.43%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $37.52H $37.71L $36.55C $36.55VOL 198.6K

RES: $38.75SUP: $33.75SMA50: $38.11SMA200: $39.51

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 TR Butterfly Map → + Track TR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

20.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TR)

Consumer Staples Rank #18 of 146 ⚔️ JJSF vs TR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (TR vs. JJSF, JBSS, MICC, MAMA)

Industry: Specialty Foods (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) ranks #18 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #52 by equity capitalization ($2.74B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, JBSS leads on earnings valuation at 10.7x trailing P/E, while JBSS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 19.2% ROIC and 18.0% gross margin. JJSF currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with TR at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
TR ACTIVE Tootsie Roll Industries Inc.	C+	68/100	27.4x	35.3%	9.8%	+2.32%	$2.74B	Benchmark Subject
JJSF J & J Snack Foods Corp.	B	72/100	23.9x	29.7%	7.9%	+0.54%	$1.57B	/jjsf-vs-tr →
JBSS John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.	C+	68/100	10.7x	18.0%	19.2%	-14.88%	$660.3M	/jbss-vs-tr →
MICC The Magnum Ice Cream Company N.V.	C	65/100	32.8x	—	9.9%	-2.23%	$11.55B	/micc-vs-tr →
MAMA Mama's Creations Inc.	C	63/100	114.4x	25.1%	17.2%	-1.38%	$604.9M	/mama-vs-tr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000098677

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) reported GAAP revenue of $732.5M (+1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $723.2M , and -4.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $100.1M, operating cash flow of $130.6M, and free cash flow of $96.4M (-20.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, TR closed FY2025 with $1.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$732.5M	$100.1M	$130.6M	$96.4M	$1.25B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$723.2M	$86.8M	$138.9M	$120.9M	$1.15B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$769.4M	$91.9M	$94.6M	$94.6M	—	—

3. TR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (NYSE: TR) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $36.55 (+2.32% 1D, market cap $2.74B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, TR ranks #18 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TR compare to JJSF and JBSS in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Specialty Foods), TR carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 27.4x, gross margin of 35.3%, and ROIC of 9.8%. By comparison, JJSF (J & J Snack Foods Corp.) holds a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 7.9%, cap $1.57B) and JBSS (John B. Sanfilippo & Son Inc.) posts a C+ grade (68/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 19.2%, cap $660.3M). Among the 5-stock peer group, JBSS leads on earnings multiple (10.7x) while JBSS leads on capital efficiency (19.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TR?

Per TR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000098677), Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. generated $732.5M in revenue (+1.3% YoY), $100.1M in net income, and $96.4M in free cash flow against $1.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TR last traded at $36.55 (+2.32% on volume of 208,049 shares), positioning the stock -4.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($38.11) and -7.49% below its 200-day simple moving average ($39.51). Across its 52-week range of $33.52 to $45.06, TR sits at the 26.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 48.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.7% ($34.47 to $38.63).

TR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TR's 12-month stock price target?

Tootsie Roll Industries Inc. (TR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $38.19 (+4.5% from $36.55), with a bull-case target of $47.31 and a bear-case floor of $29.79.

Is TR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates TR C+ (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 68/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: TR RQD Cockpit TR 12M Forecast TR Earnings & Move TR Dividends & DRIP TR Insiders & 13F TR Whale Options TR Profit Sankey TR News & Why