MARKET WIREReuters • 2h ago
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Why TPCS Stock advanced +0.73% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$5.53 +0.73% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.53
TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 30/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $56.0M
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🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief)
Is TPCS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, TechPrecision Corporation (NASDAQ: TPCS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $5.53 (+0.73% 1D, market cap $56.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TPCS ranks #452 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TPCS compare to AIOS and VATE in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), TPCS carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.7%, and ROIC of -10.6%. By comparison, AIOS (AIOS Tech Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 29.9%, cap $77.6M) and VATE (INNOVATE Corp.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $79.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TPCS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while VATE leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPCS?
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Per TPCS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001328792), TechPrecision Corporation generated $31.6M in revenue (-7.0% YoY), -$1.7M in net income, and -$3.3M in free cash flow against $32.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.53 (-0.06%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (30/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.7% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TPCS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.4%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (30/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TPCS SCORES 30/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (37% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.4% realized swing band)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (33% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 77% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$5.75-5.6% Next Q
38
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$5.43-3.3% Next Q
35
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$5.25+5.3% Next Q
33
CurrentGrade E$5.53-9.6% Hist 90D α
30
Trajectory: E (38) → E (30)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TPCS Turnaround Squeeze
While TPCS currently carries a cautious 30/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.48) and Max Pain ($5.81) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.63.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TPCS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TPCS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why TPCS Stock advanced +0.73% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) advanced +0.73% to $5.53, trading at 77% of its 52-week range ($2.88 – $6.31). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 77% of its 52-week range ($2.88 – $6.31) with RSI-14 at 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.4% around $5.53 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 15.7% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live TPCS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 4h ago
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TPCS)
- ✓Walkthrough of TPCS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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TPCS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +31.04%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $5.56H $5.62L $5.35C $5.53VOL 29.5K
RES: $5.74SUP: $5.27SMA50: $5.48SMA200: $4.51
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
TPCS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. -7.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TPCS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TPCS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TPCS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TPCS)
Industrials Rank #452 of 485
⚔️ AIOS vs TPCS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TPCS vs. AIOS, VATE, ZKIN, ZJK)
Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) ranks #452 by composite RQD confidence (30/100, grade E) and #400 by equity capitalization ($56.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TPCS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while VATE leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 16.0% gross margin. ZJK currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with TPCS at 30/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPCS
ACTIVE
TechPrecision Corporation | E | 30/100 | — | 15.7% | -10.6% | +0.73% | $56.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| AIOS AIOS Tech Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 54/100 | — | 72.0% | 29.9% | -0.95% | $77.6M | /aios-vs-tpcs → |
| VATE INNOVATE Corp. | D | 45/100 | — | 16.0% | 85.0% | -3.49% | $79.1M | /vate-vs-tpcs → |
| ZKIN ZK International Group Co. Ltd Ordinary Share | D- | 41/100 | — | 5.7% | — | -7.28% | $80.2M | /zkin-vs-tpcs → |
| ZJK ZJK Industrial Co. Ltd. (Class A) | C | 65/100 | — | 43.7% | 25.7% | -6.25% | $96.5M | /zjk-vs-tpcs → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0001328792In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), TechPrecision Corporation (TPCS) reported GAAP revenue of $31.6M (-7.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $34.0M , and +0.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.7M, operating cash flow of $6.0K, and free cash flow of -$3.3M (+31.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, TPCS closed FY2025 with $32.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.71, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2026-03-31 | $31.6M | -$1.7M | $6.0K | -$3.3M | $32.8M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2025-03-31 | $34.0M | -$2.7M | -$599.0K | -$4.7M | $32.2M | $19.0K |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2024-03-31 | $31.6M | -$7.0M | $728.0K | $728.0K | — | — |
3. TPCS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TPCS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, TechPrecision Corporation (NASDAQ: TPCS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 30/100 at a spot price of $5.53 (+0.73% 1D, market cap $56.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TPCS ranks #452 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TPCS compare to AIOS and VATE in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), TPCS carries a Roarable E (30/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.7%, and ROIC of -10.6%. By comparison, AIOS (AIOS Tech Inc. (Class A)) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 29.9%, cap $77.6M) and VATE (INNOVATE Corp.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $79.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TPCS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while VATE leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TPCS?
Per TPCS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0001328792), TechPrecision Corporation generated $31.6M in revenue (-7.0% YoY), -$1.7M in net income, and -$3.3M in free cash flow against $32.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TPCS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TPCS last traded at $5.53 (+0.73% on volume of 4,180 shares), positioning the stock +0.91% above its 50-day simple moving average ($5.48) and +22.62% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.51). Across its 52-week range of $2.88 to $6.31, TPCS sits at the 77.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.4% ($4.95 to $6.11).
TPCS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TPCS stock moving today?
Why TPCS Stock advanced +0.73% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-11% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.