Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8% Move

$101.23 +1.95% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $101.83

Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 71/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (67% profit margin, 20% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.51B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $101.83 (+0.59%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 16/20 (B+) • 12.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 71/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 14% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.4% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
025507510071
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B- · Rk B
Cash (16)Whales (13)SEC (13)Macro (16)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.8% Base Target
$126 Bull$107 Base$83 Bear
📬 FREE TNK RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TNK)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (71/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TNK SCORES 71/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 12.1% FCF Margin ($115.6M FCF) & 66.7% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+16/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 84% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 7 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
79
Grade A-$106.14-8.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
76
Grade B+$96.82+2.7% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
74
Grade B+$99.47+1.8% Next Q
Current
71
Grade B-$101.23+6.8% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: A- (79) → B- (71)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the TNK Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 71/100 (B-) score, TNK faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 64.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($97.15) or 200D SMA ($79.22) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($107.15) toward Bear Floor ($83.01).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TNK• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TNK Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8% Swing Band

±$8.10 Expected Swing
$93.13 (-8%)Spot $101.23$109.33 (+8%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

TNK Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 71/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -22.6%

Model Bullish Setup (71/100)Model Risk Weight (29/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$951.8M$0$115.6M66.7%
FY 20242024-12-31$1.23B$0$401.4M67%
FY 20232023-12-31$1.47B$0$631.2M66.7%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating TNK & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

  • ✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on TNK
  • ✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TNK // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +28.87%▲ ASCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $100.6H $101.5L $99.72C $101.2VOL 174.4K
RES: $116.4SUP: $94.79SMA50: $97.15SMA200: $79.22
$114.2$99.36$84.47$69.58$54.69RES $116.4SUP $94.79$101.22026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TNK Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-7.6%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -22.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TNK today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TNK. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TNK today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TNK)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #154 of 1011 ⚔️ ZIM vs TNK Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (TNK vs. ZIM, SBLK, ECO, DHT)

Industry: Marine Transportation (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) ranks #154 by composite RQD confidence (71/100, grade B-) and #336 by equity capitalization ($3.51B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ECO leads on earnings valuation at 32.8x trailing P/E, while TNK leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 20.1% ROIC and 66.7% gross margin. ECO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with TNK at 71/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
TNK ACTIVE
Teekay Tankers Ltd.
B- 71/100 — 66.7% 20.1% +1.95% $3.51B Benchmark Subject
ZIM
ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.
D+ 58/100 — — — -1.42% $3.52B /zim-vs-tnk →
SBLK
Star Bulk Carriers Corp.
C- 61/100 38.3x — 5.5% +0.24% $3.22B /sblk-vs-tnk →
ECO
Okeanis Eco Tankers Corp.
B 73/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.62% $3.97B /eco-vs-tnk →
DHT
DHT Holdings Inc.
B 72/100 32.8x — 9.9% +2.54% $4.04B /dht-vs-tnk →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001419945

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK) reported GAAP revenue of $951.8M (-22.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.23B , and -35.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $305.9M, and free cash flow of $115.6M (-71.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, TNK closed FY2025 with $2.24B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 12.46, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $951.8M $0 $305.9M $115.6M $2.24B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.23B $0 $471.9M $401.4M $1.97B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.47B $0 $631.2M $631.2M — —

3. TNK Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is TNK stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Teekay Tankers Ltd. (NYSE: TNK) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 71/100 at a spot price of $101.23 (+1.95% 1D, market cap $3.51B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 16/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 16/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, TNK ranks #154 in composite RQD confidence.

How does TNK compare to ZIM and SBLK in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Marine Transportation), TNK carries a Roarable B- (71/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 66.7%, and ROIC of 20.1%. By comparison, ZIM (ZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $3.52B) and SBLK (Star Bulk Carriers Corp.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 38.3x, ROIC 5.5%, cap $3.22B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ECO leads on earnings multiple (32.8x) while TNK leads on capital efficiency (20.1% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TNK?

Per TNK's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001419945), Teekay Tankers Ltd. generated $951.8M in revenue (-22.6% YoY), $0 in net income, and $115.6M in free cash flow against $2.24B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (67% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is TNK trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

TNK last traded at $101.23 (+1.95% on volume of 248,100 shares), positioning the stock +4.20% above its 50-day simple moving average ($97.15) and +27.78% above its 200-day simple moving average ($79.22). Across its 52-week range of $50.94 to $110.65, TNK sits at the 84.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.0% ($93.13 to $109.33).

TNK Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is TNK's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Teekay Tankers Ltd. (TNK)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is TNK stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8% event move for TNK, spanning a range between $93.13 and $109.33.

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