MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why TMS Stock dropped -9.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$4.10 -9.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.03
Teamshares Inc. (TMS) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $302.0M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.02 (-1.83%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TMS)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TMS SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (32% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (23% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade E$6.52-17.6% Next Q
39
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$5.37-1.5% Next Q
36
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$5.29-22.5% Next Q
34
CurrentGrade E$4.10-9.4% Hist 90D α
31
Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TMS Turnaround Squeeze
While TMS currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($6.55) and Max Pain ($4.31) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $13.86.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TMS• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TMS Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why TMS Stock dropped -9.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Teamshares Inc. (TMS) dropped -9.09% to $4.10, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($3.89 – $13.2). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($3.89 – $13.2) with RSI-14 at 32.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $4.10 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live TMS Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TMS)
- ✓Walkthrough of TMS's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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TMS // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -60.77%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $4.03H $4.56L $4.00C $4.10VOL 81.4K
RES: $8.98SUP: $2.55SMA50: $6.55SMA200: $8.83
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
TMS Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TMS today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TMS. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TMS today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TMS)
Industrials Rank #444 of 485
⚔️ PPHC vs TMS Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (TMS vs. PPHC, BTQ, SUPX, QNC)
Industry: Diversified Equities (43 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Teamshares Inc. (TMS) ranks #444 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #325 by equity capitalization ($302.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TMS leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TMS leads on capital efficiency and profitability with -6.1% ROIC and — gross margin. QNC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with TMS at 31/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMS
ACTIVE
Teamshares Inc. | E | 31/100 | — | — | -6.1% | -9.09% | $302.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| PPHC Public Policy Holding Company Inc. | D+ | 52/100 | — | 10.0% | -29.0% | +0.10% | $305.5M | /pphc-vs-tms → |
| BTQ BTQ Technologies Corp. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -4.00% | $317.7M | /btq-vs-tms → |
| SUPX SuperX AI Technology Limited | E | 34/100 | — | 5.0% | — | -2.37% | $266.6M | /supx-vs-tms → |
| QNC Quantum eMotion Corp. | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +0.91% | $243.6M | /qnc-vs-tms → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002048951In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Teamshares Inc. (TMS) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of -$16.5M, operating cash flow of -$1.3M, and free cash flow of -$1.3M . On the balance sheet, TMS closed FY2025 with $528.2M in total assets against $91.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$16.5M | -$1.3M | -$1.3M | $528.2M | $91.4M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $0 | $0 | — | — | $67.5K | — |
3. TMS Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TMS stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Teamshares Inc. (NASDAQ: TMS) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $4.10 (-9.09% 1D, market cap $302.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, TMS ranks #444 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TMS compare to PPHC and BTQ in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Diversified Equities), TMS carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -6.1%. By comparison, PPHC (Public Policy Holding Company Inc.) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -29.0%, cap $305.5M) and BTQ (BTQ Technologies Corp.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $317.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMS leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMS leads on capital efficiency (-6.1% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMS?
Per TMS's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002048951), Teamshares Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$16.5M in net income, and -$1.3M in free cash flow against $528.2M in total assets and $91.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TMS trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TMS last traded at $4.10 (-9.09% on volume of 140,010 shares), positioning the stock -37.40% below its 50-day simple moving average ($6.55) and -53.57% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.83). Across its 52-week range of $3.89 to $13.20, TMS sits at the 2.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 32.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($3.59 to $4.61).
TMS Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TMS stock moving today?
Why TMS Stock dropped -9.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.