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Why TMCR Stock dropped -3.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.07 -3.27% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.05
The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 44/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID
Cap $139.5M
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Is TMCR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (NASDAQ: TMCR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $2.07 (-3.27% 1D, market cap $139.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does TMCR compare to PLG and NVA in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), TMCR carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PLG (Platinum Group Metals Ltd. (Canada)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $136.8M) and NVA (Nova Minerals Corp) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $133.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMCR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMCR leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMCR?
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For The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #181 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.05 (-0.78%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 0.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (44/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-6.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for TMCR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (44/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY TMCR SCORES 44/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (30% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (27% of score)
SEC XBRL Trailing 12 Months: 0.1% FCF Margin ($3.9M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-16 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C-$2.84-19.7% Next Q
52
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$2.28-7.9% Next Q
49
Q3 (-1Q)Grade D$2.10-1.4% Next Q
47
CurrentGrade D$2.07-6.5% Hist 90D α
44
Trajectory: C- (52) → D (44)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a TMCR Turnaround Squeeze
While TMCR currently carries a cautious 44/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.00) and Max Pain ($2.17) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.45.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $TMCR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “TMCR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why TMCR Stock dropped -3.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR) dropped -3.27% to $2.07, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.77 – $21.38). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($1.77 – $21.38) with RSI-14 at 29.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.07 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Primary SEC / Cross-Feed Trigger: TMCR Exhibits 4.87x True Net Liquidity Elasticity as Fed-TGA-RRP Prints $5,746B
Live TMCR Headlines & Catalysts
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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TMCR)
- ✓Walkthrough of TMCR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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TMCR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -86.72%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-11-02O $2.14H $2.14L $2.07C $2.07VOL 68.8K
RES: $3.58SUP: $1.13SMA50: $4.00SMA200: $7.95
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
TMCR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TMCR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TMCR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TMCR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TMCR)
Materials Rank #181 of 270
⚔️ PLG vs TMCR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (TMCR vs. PLG, NVA, GLDG, SBMT)
Industry: Precious Metals (74 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR) ranks #181 by composite RQD confidence (44/100, grade D) and #218 by equity capitalization ($139.5M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TMCR leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while TMCR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with — ROIC and — gross margin. GLDG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 47/100 (D) compared with TMCR at 44/100 (D).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TMCR
ACTIVE
The Metals Royalty Company Inc. | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -3.27% | $139.5M | Benchmark Subject |
| PLG Platinum Group Metals Ltd. (Canada) | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -1.83% | $136.8M | /plg-vs-tmcr → |
| NVA Nova Minerals Corp | E | 34/100 | — | — | — | +1.45% | $133.7M | /nva-vs-tmcr → |
| GLDG GoldMining Inc. | D | 47/100 | — | — | — | -3.20% | $162.3M | /gldg-vs-tmcr → |
| SBMT Silver Bow Mining Corp. | D | 44/100 | — | — | — | -0.93% | $189.6M | /sbmt-vs-tmcr → |
2. TMCR Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics
TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOTThe Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR) operates in Precious Metals (Materials) with an equity capitalization of $139.5M, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.
3. TMCR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TMCR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-02, The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (NASDAQ: TMCR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 44/100 at a spot price of $2.07 (-3.27% 1D, market cap $139.5M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 3/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Active quantitative signal LIQUIDITY_TAILWIND (BEARISH, conviction undefined/100) notes: undefined.
How does TMCR compare to PLG and NVA in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Precious Metals), TMCR carries a Roarable D (44/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, PLG (Platinum Group Metals Ltd. (Canada)) holds a D grade (44/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $136.8M) and NVA (Nova Minerals Corp) posts a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $133.7M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TMCR leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while TMCR leads on capital efficiency (— ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TMCR?
For The Metals Royalty Company Inc. (TMCR), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #181 in Materials, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TMCR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TMCR last traded at $2.07 (-3.27% on volume of 68,830 shares), positioning the stock -48.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.00) and -73.96% below its 200-day simple moving average ($7.95). Across its 52-week range of $1.77 to $21.38, TMCR sits at the 1.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 29.1 (OVERSOLD (<32)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($1.81 to $2.33).
TMCR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TMCR stock moving today?
Why TMCR Stock dropped -3.27% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (steady margins) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.