CIBC analyst Mark Jarvi maintains Talen Energy (NASDAQ:TLN) with a Outperformer and lowers the price target from $499 to $493.
Why TLN Stock advanced +0.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 41/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Why TLN Stock advanced +0.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) advanced +0.32% to $348.85, trading at 41% of its 52-week range ($279.77 – $449.84). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 41% of its 52-week range ($279.77 – $449.84) with RSI-14 at 53.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.3% around $348.85 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D- (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $606.0M annual free cash flow.
Ormat Technologies (ORA) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Wells Fargo analyst Shahriar Pourreza maintains Talen Energy (NASDAQ:TLN) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $501 to $479.
Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Barclays analyst Nicholas Campanella maintains Talen Energy (NASDAQ:TLN) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $408 to $387.
Talen Energy has delivered a very large gain over the past three years, which puts a lot of weight on the question of whether its current share price of US$327.91 is properly supported by the sales it generates. With the
TD Cowen analyst Shelby Tucker initiates coverage on Talen Energy (NASDAQ:TLN) with a Buy rating and announces Price Target of $475.
HSBC analyst Meike Becker initiates coverage on Talen Energy (NASDAQ:TLN) with a Buy rating and announces Price Target of $444.3.
Morgan Stanley analyst David Arcaro maintains Talen Energy (NASDAQ:TLN) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $514 to $504.
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring TLN)
- ✓Walkthrough of TLN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
TLN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +60.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TLN today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TLN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (TLN)
1. Head-to-Head Utilities Peer Comparison (TLN vs. EMA, BEP, NRG, PNW)
Industry: Electric Utilities: Central (28 Tracked Issuers)Across 58 tracked Utilities securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) ranks #51 by composite RQD confidence (41/100, grade D-) and #37 by equity capitalization ($16.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PNW leads on earnings valuation at 15.5x trailing P/E, while NRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. PNW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with TLN at 41/100 (D-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLN
ACTIVE
Talen Energy Corporation | D- | 41/100 | — | — | -1.0% | +0.32% | $16.71B | Benchmark Subject |
| EMA Emera Incorporated | C | 62/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +1.38% | $15.17B | /ema-vs-tln → |
| BEP Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P. | D+ | 57/100 | 32.8x | — | 9.9% | +0.28% | $19.75B | /bep-vs-tln → |
| NRG NRG Energy Inc. | D | 48/100 | 23.7x | — | 10.9% | +0.59% | $20.50B | /nrg-vs-tln → |
| PNW Pinnacle West Capital Corporation | C | 65/100 | 15.5x | — | 5.2% | +1.69% | $12.92B | /pnw-vs-tln → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2024–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001622536In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Talen Energy Corporation (TLN) reported GAAP revenue of $2.52B (+60.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.57B ) , GAAP net income of -$219.0M, operating cash flow of $704.0M, and free cash flow of $606.0M (+254.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, TLN closed FY2025 with $10.90B in total assets against $6.78B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.18, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $2.52B | -$219.0M | $704.0M | $606.0M | $10.90B | $6.78B |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.57B | $998.0M | $256.0M | $171.0M | $6.11B | $2.99B |
3. TLN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs TLN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Talen Energy Corporation (NASDAQ: TLN) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 41/100 at a spot price of $348.85 (+0.32% 1D, market cap $16.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 6/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 58 tracked Utilities issuers, TLN ranks #51 in composite RQD confidence.
How does TLN compare to EMA and BEP in the Utilities sector?
Within the Utilities sector (Electric Utilities: Central), TLN carries a Roarable D- (41/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.0%. By comparison, EMA (Emera Incorporated) holds a C grade (62/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $15.17B) and BEP (Brookfield Renewable Partners L.P.) posts a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 32.8x, ROIC 9.9%, cap $19.75B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PNW leads on earnings multiple (15.5x) while NRG leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for TLN?
Per TLN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001622536), Talen Energy Corporation generated $2.52B in revenue (+60.0% YoY), -$219.0M in net income, and $606.0M in free cash flow against $10.90B in total assets and $6.78B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Utilities with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is TLN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
TLN last traded at $348.85 (+0.32% on volume of 653,932 shares), positioning the stock +7.26% above its 50-day simple moving average ($325.23) and -0.11% below its 200-day simple moving average ($349.25). Across its 52-week range of $279.77 to $449.84, TLN sits at the 40.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.3% ($312.92 to $384.78).
TLN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is TLN stock moving today?
Why TLN Stock advanced +0.32% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.