TKO Group Holdings Inc. (TKO) Whale Options Tug-of-War, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$178.77 +2.81% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

TKO Group Holdings Inc. (TKO) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (66/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+100.6% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $33.84B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (16)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$238 Bull$185 Base$144 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:61% Call Buyers ($3.7M)
39% PutsMax Pain: $175.00
CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE
61% Calls / 39% Puts
Put/Call Ratio: 0.64x
MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET
$175.00
-2.11% vs. current $178.77 spot
OPTIONS-IMPLIED VOLATILITY MOVE
±7.2%
Expected event band around $178.77

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (TKO)

$170
6,876C / 10,227P
$175
6,876C / 10,227P
$180
16,082C / 10,227P
$185
16,082C / 4,420P
$190
16,082C / 4,420P
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  • ✓Live walkthrough of TKO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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TKO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.91%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $179.9H $182.0L $179.0C $180.7VOL 1.00M
RES: $184.3SUP: $168.5SMA50: $182.8SMA200: $193.3
$222.3$208.1$194.0$179.9$165.8RES $184.3SUP $168.5$180.72026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TKO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
42.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TKO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TKO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TKO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

TKO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is TKO's options max pain and whale flow sentiment?

Unusual options sweeps in TKO show 61% bullish call premium versus 39% put premium, centered near a $175 max-pain strike.