TKO Group Holdings Inc. (TKO) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$178.77 +2.81% NYSE • Public Delayed / 60s Snapshot

TKO Group Holdings Inc. (TKO) receives a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) and flashes a Red SELL / AVOID warning (66/100 RQD Confidence). Our SEC filing scanner spotted paper earnings outpacing real operating cash flow (+100.6% (NI vs OCF)) while unpaid customer invoices grew—a classic sign to step aside until cash flow catches up.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $33.84B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510066
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk D
Cash (16)Whales (10)SEC (8)Macro (15)CEO (12)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target
$238 Bull$185 Base$144 Bear
🔴 SUNDAY NIGHT PREP • 7:00 PM ET
WHALE OPTIONS TUG-OF-WAR:61% Call Buyers ($3.7M)
39% PutsMax Pain: $175.00
VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How TKO Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$1.07B (22.7% FCF Margin)
Revenue$4.74BGross Profit $2.08B (44%)Cost of Sales $2.65BOp Profit $835.0M (17.6%)OpEx (R&D/SG&A) $1.25BNet Profit$546.3M (11.5%)Tax/Other $288.7M

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow
FY23
Rev $3.22B
FY24
Rev $4.88B
FY25
Rev $4.74B
Fiscal YearRevenueGross MarginOp MarginNet ProfitFree Cash FlowROIC %
FY 2025$4.74B44%17.6%$546.3M$1.07B9.9%
FY 2024$4.88B44%0.6%$6.4M$366.3M0.4%
FY 2023$3.22B44%11.7%$175.7M$121.0M2.6%
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Red-Light Warning Desk: How Pros Profit When Overhyped Stocks Crack (Featuring TKO)

  • ✓Live walkthrough of TKO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside levels
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RQD INSIDER CLUB UPGRADE$49/YEAR
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TKO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -2.91%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $179.9H $182.0L $179.0C $180.7VOL 1.00M
RES: $184.3SUP: $168.5SMA50: $182.8SMA200: $193.3
$222.3$208.1$194.0$179.9$165.8RES $184.3SUP $168.5$180.72026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

TKO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
42.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on TKO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for TKO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for TKO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

TKO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is TKO Group Holdings Inc. (TKO)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), TKO converted $4.7B of revenue into a 44% gross margin, 17.6% operating margin, and $1.1B in free cash flow (22.7% FCF margin).